Boss Energy Ltd (BOE) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AU · Market cap A$544M (≈ $392M) · ISIN AU000000BOE4
What is Boss Energy Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 315% above our fair value of A$0.3600.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +22.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.4400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.01 – A$6.11 · fair‑value band A$0.2800 – A$0.4400 · the A$1.50 price screens above the A$0.3600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Boss Energy Ltd (BOE) currently trades at A$1.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3600, implying the stock looks roughly 315.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of A$0.7800 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the A$1.50 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.3600, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Boss Energy Ltd generated revenue of A$110M at a net margin of −29.7%. Revenue grew 71.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$36.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.2800 (bear case) to A$0.4400 (bull case); at A$1.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −65% fair-value upside, at −76%, BOE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (A$0.7800) versus Multiples (A$0.3600). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Boss Energy Limited explores for and produces uranium deposits in Australia and the United States. The company holds a 100% interest in the Honeymoon uranium project located in South Australia. It also holds 30% interest in the Alta Mesa Project located in South Texas.
Full company description
Boss Energy Limited explores for and produces uranium deposits in Australia and the United States. The company holds a 100% interest in the Honeymoon uranium project located in South Australia. It also holds 30% interest in the Alta Mesa Project located in South Texas. The company was formerly known as Boss Resources Limited and changed its name to Boss Energy Limited in November 2020. Boss Energy Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Boss Energy Ltd reported revenue of A$75.6M in FY2025 versus A$601K in FY2020, a compound +163.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$34.2M in FY2025.
BOE screens 315% overvalued. Compare with China National Uranium Co →
Peer Group
Uranium · 26 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Uranium median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China National Uranium Co 001280 | ¥63.29 | ¥16.71 | −74% |
| NexGen Energy Ltd NXE | $9.93 | $1.03 | −90% |
| Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund UU | $18.61 | $29.76 | +60% |
| Centrus Energy Corp LEU | $170.46 | $58.25 | −66% |
| CGN Mining Company 1164 | HK$2.87 | HK$1.01 | −65% |
| Deep Yellow Limited DYL | A$1.75 | A$0.3000 | −83% |
| IsoEnergy Ltd ISO | C$15.59 | C$1.59 | −90% |
| Bannerman Energy Ltd BMN | A$3.63 | A$3.63 | +0% |
| Uranium Royalty Corp UROY | $4.44 | $1.62 | −64% |
| enCore Energy Corp EU | C$1.93 | C$0.7900 | −59% |
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