Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AU · Market cap A$1.7B (≈ $1.2B) · ISIN AU000000DYL4
What is Deep Yellow Ltd really worth?
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Below-average quality, and trading another 551% above our fair value of A$0.2550.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +17.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2550). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.4850 – A$2.91 · fair‑value band A$0.1615 – A$0.2550 · the A$1.66 price screens above the A$0.2550 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL) currently trades at A$1.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2550, implying the stock looks roughly 551.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of A$0.4400 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the A$1.66 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.1000, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Revenue declined 68.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$214M. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.1615 (bear case) to A$0.2550 (bull case); at A$1.66, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −65% fair-value upside, at −85%, DYL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (A$0.4400) versus Multiples (A$0.1000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).
Notify me when DYL reaches fair value
Put DYL on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Deep Yellow Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and evaluation of uranium properties in Australia and Namibia. It operates through Tumas Project, Mulga Rock Project, Exploration, and Other Activities segments. The company also explores for iron deposits.
Full company description
Deep Yellow Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and evaluation of uranium properties in Australia and Namibia. It operates through Tumas Project, Mulga Rock Project, Exploration, and Other Activities segments. The company also explores for iron deposits. Its flagship property is the 95% owned Tumas Project, which covers an area of approximately 125 kilometers located in Namibia. In addition, the company is involved in property investment; and trustee of share trust activities. Deep Yellow Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Deep Yellow Ltd reported revenue of A$11.6M in FY2025 versus A$56.1K in FY2021, a compound +279.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$7.2M in FY2025.
DYL screens 551% overvalued. Compare with National Atomic Company →
Peer Group
Uranium · 26 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Uranium median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Atomic Company KAP | $74.50 | $65.89 | −12% |
| China National Uranium Co 001280 | ¥63.29 | ¥16.71 | −74% |
| NexGen Energy Ltd NXE | $9.93 | $1.03 | −90% |
| Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund UU | $18.61 | $29.76 | +60% |
| Centrus Energy Corp LEU | $170.46 | $58.25 | −66% |
| CGN Mining Company 1164 | HK$2.87 | HK$1.01 | −65% |
| IsoEnergy Ltd ISO | C$15.59 | C$1.59 | −90% |
| Bannerman Energy Ltd BMN | A$3.63 | A$3.63 | +0% |
| Uranium Royalty Corp UROY | $4.44 | $1.62 | −64% |
| Boss Energy Limited BOE | A$1.53 | A$0.3600 | −76% |
Compare Deep Yellow Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Energy stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of DYL?
What is the quality score of DYL?
What is the net profit margin of DYL?
Does Deep Yellow Ltd pay a dividend?
Watch Deep Yellow Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Deep Yellow Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.