Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $3.1B · ISIN US15643U1043
What is Centrus Energy Corp. really worth?
Centrus Energy Corp.
LEU · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 244% above our fair value of $49.51.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated today
Share price −9.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($57.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $18.63 – $436.00 · fair‑value band $43.26 – $57.38 · the $170.46 price screens above the $49.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) currently trades at $170.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $49.51, implying the stock looks roughly 244.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $63.11 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the $170.46 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $27.05, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Centrus Energy Corp. generated revenue of $452M at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $744M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $43.26 (bear case) to $57.38 (bull case); at $170.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −65% fair-value upside, at −71%, LEU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.86 per share, which is 3.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($63.11) versus Asset-Based ($27.05). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Centrus Energy Corp. supplies nuclear fuel components for the nuclear power industry in the United States, Belgium, Japan, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) and Technical Solutions.
Full company description
Centrus Energy Corp. supplies nuclear fuel components for the nuclear power industry in the United States, Belgium, Japan, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) and Technical Solutions. The LEU segment sells separative work units (SWU) components of LEU; natural uranium hexafluoride, uranium concentrates, and uranium conversion; and enriched uranium products to utilities that operate nuclear power plants. The Technical Solutions segment offers technical, manufacturing, engineering, and operations services to public and private sector customers. The company was formerly known as USEC Inc. and changed its name to Centrus Energy Corp. in September 2014. Centrus Energy Corp. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Centrus Energy Corp. reported revenue of $449M in FY2025 versus $298M in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was $77.8M in FY2025, compounding −18.3%/yr from FY2021.
LEU screens 244% overvalued. Compare with China National Uranium Co →
Peer Group
Uranium · 26 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Uranium median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China National Uranium Co 001280 | ¥63.29 | ¥16.71 | −74% |
| NexGen Energy Ltd NXE | $9.93 | $1.03 | −90% |
| Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund UU | $18.61 | $29.76 | +60% |
| CGN Mining Company 1164 | HK$2.87 | HK$1.01 | −65% |
| Deep Yellow Limited DYL | A$1.75 | A$0.3000 | −83% |
| IsoEnergy Ltd ISO | C$15.59 | C$1.59 | −90% |
| Bannerman Energy Ltd BMN | A$3.63 | A$3.63 | +0% |
| Uranium Royalty Corp UROY | $4.44 | $1.62 | −64% |
| Boss Energy Limited BOE | A$1.53 | A$0.3600 | −76% |
| enCore Energy Corp EU | C$1.93 | C$0.7900 | −59% |
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