Toro Co (TTC) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $9.0B · ISIN US8910921084
What is Toro Co really worth?
Toro Co
TTC · US
A solid business, but trading 33% above our fair value of $69.71.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price −6.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($87.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $61.99 – $109.38 · fair‑value band $51.92 – $87.13 · the $92.37 price screens above the $69.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Toro Co (TTC) currently trades at $92.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.71, implying the stock looks roughly 32.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $73.18 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $92.37 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $10.22, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Toro Co generated revenue of $4.7B at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.9%. Net debt stands at $681M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $51.92 (bear case) to $87.13 (bull case); at $92.37, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −25%, TTC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 10 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.63 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($73.18) versus Asset-Based ($10.22). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
The Toro Company provides professional turf maintenance equipment and services. It operates through Professional and Residential segments.
Full company description
The Toro Company provides professional turf maintenance equipment and services. It operates through Professional and Residential segments. It offers riding and walking mowers, greens rollers, all-wheel drive articulating tractors, turf sprayer, utility vehicles, aeration, bunker maintenance, and other turf equipment; sprinkler heads, controllers, turf sensors, valves, and operating software; and riding rotary and reel mowers and attachments, infield grooming equipment, multipurpose vehicles, debris management products, all-wheel drive articulating tractors, sidewalk snow and ice solution vehicles, and related attachments and accessories. The company also provides zero-turn radius riding mowers, walk behind and stand-on mowers, turf application and renovation, tree care, horizontal directional drills, and drilling guidance and support equipment; walk and ride trenchers, vacuum excavators, utility locators and inspection systems, pipe rehabilitation, and replacement solutions; drive chucks and sub savers, drill pipe, starter rods and quick connects, bits and blades, rock tools, reamers, and swivels; and snow removal and ice management solutions. In addition, it offers rotors, sprinkler bodies and nozzles, valves, drip tubing and subsurface irrigation, and electric control devices; wired and wireless rain, freeze, climate, and soil sensors; drip tape, polyethylene tubing, drip line, emitters, filters, fitting, and software related solutions; stand-on skid steers, walk-behind trenchers, stump grinders, material handlers, and other concrete construction equipment; walk power and zero-turn riding mowers, and snow throwers; and grass and hedge trimmers, blower-vacuums, chainsaws, edgers, cultivators, string mowers, and related parts and accessories. The company sells its products through distributors, dealers, mass retailers, hardware retailers, equipment rental and home centers, and online. The company was founded in 1914 and is headquartered in Bloomington, Minnesota.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Toro Co reported revenue of $4.5B in FY2025 versus $4.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was $316M in FY2025, compounding −6.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.8 % · buybacks/dilution +1.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TTC screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Toro (TTC) Stock Looks Fairly Valued Despite Pricey Earnings
- The Toro Company (TTC) Reports Q2: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings
- Toro Set to Report Q3 Earnings: Here's What Investors Should Know
- The Toro Company to Announce Fiscal 2026 Third Quarter Results
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 122 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$138.50 | HK$78.56 | −43% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $391.86 | $344.67 | −12% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $488.69 | $179.94 | −63% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $284.90 | $151.86 | −47% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $99.24 | $52.80 | −47% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 275.40 | kr 180.34 | −35% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $130.25 | $64.85 | −50% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 131.40 | CHF 118.30 | −10% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥30.51 | ¥30.38 | +0% |
| Hiwin Technologies Corporation 2049 | 381.00 TWD | 73.32 TWD | −81% |
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