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RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $18.8B

RB RBC Bearings Incorporated logo RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC · US
Price$554.25
Fair Value$179.94
Upside-67.5%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $102.04 – $238.64 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $184.29 to $179.94 (−2.4%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −5.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($238.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($102.04 to $238.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$648.89 $155.19 Fair Value $179.94 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $155.19 – $648.89 · fair‑value band $102.04 – $238.64 · the $554.25 price screens above the $179.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) currently trades at $554.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $179.94, implying the stock looks roughly 67.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, RBC Bearings Incorporated generated revenue of $1.9B at a net margin of 15.4%. Revenue grew 18.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at $934M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $102.04 (bear case) to $238.64 (bull case); at $554.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at -68%, RBC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $114.33 $207.80 $362.01 80
Residual Income $89.85 $97.35 $123.17 76
Rev-Margin DCF $72.82 $129.50 $200.77 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $114.39 $213.56 $380.02 38
Owner Earnings $114.66 $214.04 $380.83 31
5Y Revenue Exit $72.82 $129.58 $203.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $127.79 $239.93 $377.93 41
5Y P/E Exit $111.68 $207.59 $314.51 38
10Y Revenue Exit $83.47 $141.22 $224.12 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $121.99 $220.87 $366.17 37
10Y P/E Exit $111.42 $197.53 $314.42 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $61.82 $260.45 $355.41 54
Lynch FV $66.18 $94.55 $122.91 50
PEG = 1.0 $66.18 $94.55 $122.91 46
EPV $81.78 $98.80 $113.70 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $143.18 $190.91 $238.64 63
P/S Multiple $88.71 $118.28 $147.85 58
P/B Multiple $115.91 $154.55 $193.19 55
EV/EBIT $149.31 $205.86 $262.42 53
EV/EBITDA $149.08 $205.56 $262.04 54
EV/Revenue $54.15 $86.08 $118.02 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $53.12 $71.18 $106.24 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $114.33 $207.80 $362.01 80
Rev-Margin DCF $72.82 $129.50 $200.77 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $89.85 $97.35 $123.17 76
ROIC Compounder $81.78 $98.80 $124.43 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $112.23 $160.32 $208.42 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($207.59) versus Asset-Based ($71.18). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.3%
Net margin 15.4%
Return on equity 9.0%
Free cash flow $343M FY2026
P/E ratio 60.8
More key figures
Operating margin 25.5%
EPS (TTM) $9.11
EPS growth (YoY) +25.6%
Net debt $934M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 46
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

RBC Bearings Incorporated manufactures and markets engineered precision bearings, components, and systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Aerospace/Defense and Industrial.

Full company description

RBC Bearings Incorporated manufactures and markets engineered precision bearings, components, and systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Aerospace/Defense and Industrial. The company produces plain bearings with self-lubricating or metal-to-metal designs, including rod end bearings, spherical plain bearings, and journal bearings; roller bearings, such as tapered roller bearings, needle roller bearings, and needle bearing track rollers and cam followers, which are anti-friction products that are used in industrial applications and military aircraft platforms; and ball bearings that include high precision aerospace, airframe control, thin section, and industrial ball bearings that utilize high precision ball elements to reduce friction in high-speed applications. In addition, it offers mounted bearing products include mounted ball bearings, mounted roller bearings, and mounted plain bearings; and enclosed gearing product lines, including quantis gearmotor, torque arm, tigear, magnagear and maxum, and controlled start transmission. Further, the company's power transmission components include mechanical drive components, couplings, and conveyor components; engineered hydraulics and valves for aircraft and submarine applications, and aerospace and defense aftermarket services; fasteners; precision mechanical components, for use in various general industrial applications; and machine tool collets that are used for holding circulars or rod-like pieces. It serves commercial and defense aerospace,, construction, mining, forestry, energy, agricultural, food and beverage, metals and mining material handling, chemicals, oil and gas production, warehousing and logistics, semiconductor equipment, waste and water management, and rail and transportation applications through its direct sales force, and a network of industrial and aerospace distributors. The company was founded in 1919 and is based in Oxford, Connecticut.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

RBC Bearings Incorporated reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2026 versus $943M in FY2022, a compound +18.7%/yr. Reported net income was $288M in FY2026, compounding +51.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.9B
Latest YoY
+14.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.2%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Revenue +18.7%/yr
FY22 $943M
FY23 $1.5B
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $1.6B
FY26 $1.9B
Net income +51.4%/yr
FY22 $54.7M
FY23 $167M
FY24 $210M
FY25 $246M
FY26 $288M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +12.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.1 pp

of which total revenue +13.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.2 pp

EBIT margin +2.1 pp
Tax rate +1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

RBC screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RBC Bearings Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RBC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Tools & Accessories · 122 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −68% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.21× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 60.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.61× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 10.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 55.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 34.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.40× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 4
FUTURE 92 · sector 14
PAST 36 · sector 29
HEALTH 90 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$144.80 HK$78.62 -46%
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $408.44 $344.67 -16%
Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO $286.97 $151.86 -47%
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $102.90 $52.80 -49%
AB SKF (publ) SKFB kr 259.50 kr 192.57 -26%
The Timken Company TKR $130.25 $64.85 -50%
The Toro Company TTC $97.92 $69.71 -29%
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥30.08 ¥30.38 +1%
Hiwin Technologies Corporation 2049 381.00 TWD 73.32 TWD -81%
Precision Tsugami (China) Corporation 1651 HK$52.00 HK$55.75 +7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $179.94 versus a price of $554.25, about −68% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RBC?
Our model-based fair value for RBC Bearings Incorporated is $179.94 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $554.25.
What is the quality score of RBC?
RBC Bearings Incorporated has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
RBC Bearings Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RBC?
The net profit margin of RBC Bearings Incorporated is about 15.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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