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RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $18.8B · ISIN US75524B1044

What is RBC Bearings Incorporated really worth?

RB RBC Bearings Incorporated logo RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC · US
Price$490.78
Fair Value$179.94
Upside−63.3%
Quality60/100

A solid business, but trading 173% above our fair value of $179.94.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +25.2 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 15.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Moderate moat 63/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $102.04 – $238.64

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −13.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($238.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($102.04 to $238.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$648.89 $155.19 Fair Value $179.94 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $155.19 – $648.89 · fair‑value band $102.04 – $238.64 · the $490.78 price screens above the $179.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) currently trades at $490.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $179.94, implying the stock looks roughly 172.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $207.59 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $490.78 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $71.18, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, RBC Bearings Incorporated generated revenue of $1.9B at a net margin of 15.4%. Revenue grew 18.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at $934M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $102.04 (bear case) to $238.64 (bull case); at $490.78, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −63%, RBC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $3.93 per share, which is 2.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $114.39 $213.56 $380.02 77
Growth DCF $114.33 $207.80 $362.01 76
Residual Income $89.85 $97.35 $123.17 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $114.39 $213.56 $380.02 77
Owner Earnings $114.66 $214.04 $380.83 73
5Y Revenue Exit $72.82 $129.58 $203.84 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $127.79 $239.93 $377.93 73
5Y P/E Exit $111.68 $207.59 $314.51 69
10Y Revenue Exit $83.47 $141.22 $224.12 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $121.99 $220.87 $366.17 66
10Y P/E Exit $111.42 $197.53 $314.42 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $61.82 $260.45 $355.41 64
Lynch FV $66.18 $94.55 $122.91 61
PEG = 1.0 $66.18 $94.55 $122.91 57
EPV $81.78 $98.80 $113.70 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $143.18 $190.91 $238.64 63
P/S Multiple $88.71 $118.28 $147.85 58
P/B Multiple $115.91 $154.55 $193.19 55
EV/EBIT $149.31 $205.86 $262.42 66
EV/EBITDA $149.08 $205.56 $262.04 67
EV/Revenue $54.15 $86.08 $118.02 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $53.12 $71.18 $106.24 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $114.33 $207.80 $362.01 76
Rev-Margin DCF $72.82 $129.50 $200.77 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $89.85 $97.35 $123.17 76
ROIC Compounder $81.78 $98.80 $124.43 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $112.23 $160.32 $208.42 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($207.59) versus Asset-Based ($71.18). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 53.9
P/S ratio 8.28 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $9.11 price ÷ EPS = P/E 53.9
Net margin 15.4% FY2026
Return on equity 9.0% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 25.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.3% 3y avg +8.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +25.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $343M FY2026
Net debt $934M FY2026 · ≈ 2.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 46
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

RBC Bearings Incorporated manufactures and markets engineered precision bearings, components, and systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Aerospace/Defense and Industrial.

Full company description

RBC Bearings Incorporated manufactures and markets engineered precision bearings, components, and systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Aerospace/Defense and Industrial. The company produces plain bearings with self-lubricating or metal-to-metal designs, including rod end bearings, spherical plain bearings, and journal bearings; roller bearings, such as tapered roller bearings, needle roller bearings, and needle bearing track rollers and cam followers, which are anti-friction products that are used in industrial applications and military aircraft platforms; and ball bearings that include high precision aerospace, airframe control, thin section, and industrial ball bearings that utilize high precision ball elements to reduce friction in high-speed applications. In addition, it offers mounted bearing products include mounted ball bearings, mounted roller bearings, and mounted plain bearings; and enclosed gearing product lines, including quantis gearmotor, torque arm, tigear, magnagear and maxum, and controlled start transmission. Further, the company's power transmission components include mechanical drive components, couplings, and conveyor components; engineered hydraulics and valves for aircraft and submarine applications, and aerospace and defense aftermarket services; fasteners; precision mechanical components, for use in various general industrial applications; and machine tool collets that are used for holding circulars or rod-like pieces. It serves commercial and defense aerospace,, construction, mining, forestry, energy, agricultural, food and beverage, metals and mining material handling, chemicals, oil and gas production, warehousing and logistics, semiconductor equipment, waste and water management, and rail and transportation applications through its direct sales force, and a network of industrial and aerospace distributors. The company was founded in 1919 and is based in Oxford, Connecticut.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

RBC Bearings Incorporated reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2026 versus $943M in FY2022, a compound +18.7%/yr. Reported net income was $288M in FY2026, compounding +51.4%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.9B
Latest YoY
+14.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+23.9% (23.9 + 0.0)
Revenue +18.7%/yr
FY22 $943M
FY23 $1.5B
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $1.6B
FY26 $1.9B
Net income +51.4%/yr
FY22 $54.7M
FY23 $167M
FY24 $210M
FY25 $246M
FY26 $288M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +12.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.1 %

of which total revenue +13.2 % · buybacks/dilution −2.8 %

EBIT margin +2.1 %
Tax rate +1.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

RBC screens 173% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RBC Bearings Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RBC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Tools & Accessories · 122 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.21× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 53.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.61× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 10.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 55.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 34.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.40× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 4
FUTURE92 · sector 16
PAST36 · sector 28
HEALTH90 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

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Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $99.24 $52.80 −47%
AB SKF (publ) SKFB kr 275.40 kr 180.34 −35%
The Timken Company TKR $130.25 $64.85 −50%
The Toro Company TTC $92.37 $69.71 −25%
SFS Group SFSN CHF 131.40 CHF 118.30 −10%
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥30.51 ¥30.38 +0%
Hiwin Technologies Corporation 2049 381.00 TWD 73.32 TWD −81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $179.94 versus a price of $490.78, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RBC?
Our model-based fair value for RBC Bearings Incorporated is $179.94 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $490.78.
What is the quality score of RBC?
RBC Bearings Incorporated has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC)?
RBC Bearings Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RBC?
The net profit margin of RBC Bearings Incorporated is about 15.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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