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Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $13.7B · ISIN US5339001068

What is Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc really worth?

LE Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc logo Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc LECO · US
Price$273.83
Fair Value$151.86
Upside−44.5%
Quality71/100

A solid business, but trading 80% above our fair value of $151.86.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.8 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 12.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 72/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Weak on dividend: 22 out of 100

For context

·1.12% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $94.61 – $223.30

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −1.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($223.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($94.61 to $223.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$297.02 $112.94 Fair Value $151.86 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $112.94 – $297.02 · fair‑value band $94.61 – $223.30 · the $273.83 price screens above the $151.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO) currently trades at $273.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $151.86, implying the stock looks roughly 80.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $170.70 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $273.83 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $17.97, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc generated revenue of $4.4B at a net margin of 12.4%. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.8%. Net debt stands at $985M. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $94.61 (bear case) to $223.30 (bull case); at $273.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −45%, LECO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $4.47 per share, which is 2.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $92.60 $147.70 $229.52 79
Growth DCF $94.99 $144.69 $214.54 78
Owner Earnings $84.10 $134.85 $210.23 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $92.60 $147.70 $229.52 79
Owner Earnings $84.10 $134.85 $210.23 75
5Y Revenue Exit $82.42 $136.07 $203.25 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $105.56 $178.49 $261.95 74
5Y P/E Exit $108.34 $183.59 $260.88 70
10Y Revenue Exit $82.26 $131.63 $195.34 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $99.78 $160.77 $239.32 68
10Y P/E Exit $101.54 $164.27 $238.51 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $64.61 $181.15 $238.29 65
Lynch FV $36.58 $52.26 $67.93 61
PEG = 1.0 $36.58 $52.26 $67.93 57
EPV $82.04 $98.27 $112.47 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $28.20 $58.62 $93.00 66
DDM Multi-Stage $28.20 $44.60 $61.53 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $149.64 $199.52 $249.40 63
P/S Multiple $115.83 $154.44 $193.05 58
P/B Multiple $90.54 $120.72 $150.90 55
EV/EBIT $151.07 $206.53 $262.00 66
EV/EBITDA $129.46 $177.72 $225.98 67
EV/Revenue $81.99 $123.69 $165.39 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.41 $17.97 $26.83 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $94.99 $144.69 $214.54 78
Rev-Margin DCF $82.42 $136.74 $197.60 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $67.35 $95.82 $852.54 64
ROIC Compounder $87.79 $112.85 $140.71 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $119.49 $170.70 $221.92 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($170.70) versus Asset-Based ($17.97). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 28.3
P/S ratio 3.48 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $9.69 price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.3
Dividend yield 1.1% payout 31.8%
Net margin 12.3% FY2025
Return on equity 37.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 19.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 17.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $4.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.7% 3y avg +4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $534M FY2025
Net debt $985M FY2025 · ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 79
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells welding, cutting, and brazing products in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Americas Welding, International Welding, and The Harris Products Group.

Full company description

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells welding, cutting, and brazing products in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Americas Welding, International Welding, and The Harris Products Group. The company offers brazing and soldering filler metals, arc welding equipment, plasma and oxyfuel cutting systems, wire feeding systems, fume control equipment, welding accessories, specialty gas regulators, and education solutions; and a portfolio of automated solutions and system integration services for joining, cutting, material handling, module assembly, and end of line testing, as well as involved in brazing and soldering alloys, and in the retail business. It also provides mobile power solutions, including vehicle-mounted compressors, generators, welders, hydraulics, charger/boosters, and electrified power equipment; automated welding system and solutions; and specialty welding consumables, wear plates, and maintenance and repair services for alloy and wear-resistant products, as well as develops and integrates autonomous guided vehicles and mobile robots, custom assembly and test systems, and proprietary manufacturing execution system software. The company serves general fabrication, oil and gas, power generation, process, automotive and transportation, and construction and infrastructure industries, as well as heavy fabrication, ship building, and maintenance and repair markets. It sells its products directly to users of welding products, including OEMs, manufacturers, and integrators, as well as through industrial distributors, retailers, and agents. Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc reported revenue of $4.2B in FY2025 versus $3.2B in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was $521M in FY2025, compounding +17.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.2B
Latest YoY
+5.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+16.2% (15.1 + 1.1)
Revenue +6.9%/yr
FY21 $3.2B
FY22 $3.8B
FY23 $4.2B
FY24 $4.0B
FY25 $4.2B
Net income +17.1%/yr
FY21 $277M
FY22 $472M
FY23 $545M
FY24 $466M
FY25 $521M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +14.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.7 %

of which total revenue +5.6 % · buybacks/dilution +3.0 %

EBIT margin +4.6 %
Tax rate +1.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

LECO screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LECO

Peer Group

Tools & Accessories · 122 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −45% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.78× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 9.35× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.16× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 25.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 17.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.65× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 4
FUTURE59 · sector 16
PAST100 · sector 28
HEALTH61 · sector 97
DIVIDEND22 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$138.50 HK$78.56 −43%
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $391.86 $344.67 −12%
RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC $488.69 $179.94 −63%
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $99.24 $52.80 −47%
AB SKF (publ) SKFB kr 275.40 kr 180.34 −35%
The Timken Company TKR $130.25 $64.85 −50%
The Toro Company TTC $92.37 $69.71 −25%
SFS Group SFSN CHF 131.40 CHF 118.30 −10%
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥30.51 ¥30.38 +0%
Hiwin Technologies Corporation 2049 381.00 TWD 73.32 TWD −81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $151.86 versus a price of $273.83, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LECO?
Our model-based fair value for Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is $151.86 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $273.83.
What is the quality score of LECO?
Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LECO?
The net profit margin of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is about 12.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.12% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
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