Hangzhou Great Star Industrial Co Ltd (002444) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 37.8B CNY (≈ $5.6B) · ISIN CNE100000RC5
What is Hangzhou Great Star Industrial Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥30.38.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price +4.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (¥20.42 to ¥39.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.77 – ¥38.70 · fair‑value band ¥20.42 – ¥39.43 · the ¥30.55 price screens above the ¥30.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
Hangzhou Great Star Industrial Co Ltd (002444) currently trades at ¥30.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥30.38, implying the stock looks roughly 0.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥46.37 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥30.55 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥4.37, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Great Star Industrial Co Ltd generated revenue of 14.8B CNY at a net margin of 17.4%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥20.42 (bear case) to ¥39.43 (bull case); at ¥30.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −1%, 002444 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥1.02 per share, which is 3.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥46.37) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.37). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co., Ltd engages in research and development, production, and sales of hand, power, and industrial tools in China and internationally.
Full company description
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co., Ltd engages in research and development, production, and sales of hand, power, and industrial tools in China and internationally. The company offers mechanic tools, pneumatic tools, laser tools/LIDAR, tool storage, vacuum cleaners, and labor protection products under the ARROW, SK, shop.vac, BeA, LISTA, DuraTech, Goldblatt, WORKPRO, PONY JORGENSEN, EverBrite, PREXIS0, OLEI, SWEISS+TECH, PRIME-LINE, scruis, SHEFFIELD, and TESA TECHNOLOGY brand names. It sells its products through department stores, auto parts and other chain supermarkets, and various industrial users, as well as through domestic and foreign e-commerce platforms. Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co., Ltd was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hangzhou Great Star Industrial Co Ltd reported revenue of 14.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 10.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding +18.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +17.9 % · buybacks/dilution −1.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 122 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$138.50 | HK$78.56 | −43% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $391.86 | $344.67 | −12% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $488.69 | $179.94 | −63% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $284.90 | $151.86 | −47% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $99.24 | $52.80 | −47% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 275.40 | kr 180.34 | −35% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $130.25 | $64.85 | −50% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $92.37 | $69.71 | −25% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 131.40 | CHF 118.30 | −10% |
| Hiwin Technologies Corporation 2049 | 381.00 TWD | 73.32 TWD | −81% |
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