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Telos Corp (TLS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Telos Corp $4.82, price $4.18, upside +15.3%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · ISIN US87969B1017

TC Telos Corp logo Thin data Oct 1, 2026

Telos Corp

TLS · US

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

The stock costs 13% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $4.82 · Undervalued (+15.3%)
Quality 66/100
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.7 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -8.1% net margin (TTM) · excl. goodwill write-downs -0.4%
Narrow moat 9/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$34.42 $1.59 Fair Value $4.82 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.59 – $34.42 · fair‑value band $3.92 – $6.36 · the $4.18 price screens below the $4.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

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Company profile

Telos Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides cyber, cloud, and enterprise security solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Security Solutions and Secure Networks.

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The company offers Xacta, a platform delivering automated cyber risk management and compliance processes for systems based in the cloud, on-premises, and in hybrid environments; Xacta.ai, an artificial intelligence capability at Xacta cyber GRC platform; and risk management framework consulting services, security assessment and compliance, engineering and evaluation, operations, penetration testing, and digital forensics.

It also provides Telos Automated Message Handling System, a web-based organizational message distribution and management for mission-critical communications used by military field operatives.

In addition, the company offers Telos Identity Solutions, a portfolio of identity solutions that support secure identity verification, biometric enrollment, and trusted identity services for government and commercial customers; TSA PreCheck enrollment services, IDVetting, and Aviation Channeling Services, which provide identity enrollment, FBI background check submission, and biometric services for government agencies, transportation security programs, and regulated industries; and ONYX, a proprietary touchless fingerprint biometric technology designed to enable secure and scalable biometric authentication across mobile and enterprise environments.

Further, the company provides secure mobility solutions that enable work off-premise and minimize operational and security concerns across and beyond the enterprise; and network management and defense services for operating, maintaining, and defending complex enterprise networks.

It serves the United States federal government, large commercial businesses, state and local governments, and international customers. Telos Corporation was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Ashburn, Virginia.

Stock analysis

Telos Corp (TLS) currently trades at $4.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.82, implying the stock looks roughly 13.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $5.74 per share, and 6 of the 7 models we run sit above the $4.18 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.8600, and 1 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $3.92 (bear) to $6.36 (bull), the price of $4.18 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Telos Corp reported revenue of $165M in FY2025 versus $242M in FY2021, a compound −9.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$36.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $324M · P/S ratio 1.57 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2200 · Net margin −22.2% · Return on equity −14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.3% · Operating margin 0.7% · Revenue (TTM) $194M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 15%, TLS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.92 Fair Value $4.82 Bull $6.36
Price $4.18 · Upside +15.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $3.86 $4.84 $6.50 82
Growth DCF $3.96 $4.90 $6.35 80
5Y Revenue Exit $3.89 $5.33 $7.42 73
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.86 $4.84 $6.50 82
5Y Revenue Exit $3.89 $5.33 $7.42 73
10Y Revenue Exit $3.77 $4.77 $5.84 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue $4.20 $5.74 $7.27 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.6400 $0.8600 $1.28 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.96 $4.90 $6.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.89 $5.41 $7.29 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 34
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 81
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 81
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 32
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 22
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 30
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+52.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.2% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.2% (2020) → −14.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.0%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.3% a year for the price and +1.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+16.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+0.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+0.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+0.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+0.9%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 351 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +15.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −26.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −8.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 32.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.38× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.67× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow 11.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)54 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 55
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $543.45 $597.80 +10% vs TLS
Block, Inc XYZ $76.07 $76.95 +1% vs TLS
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $194.75 $164.68 −15% vs TLS
Oracle Corporation ORCL $142.48 $112.26 −21% vs TLS
NetApp, Inc NTAP $204.41 $157.26 −23% vs TLS
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $77.81 $58.32 −25% vs TLS
Okta, Inc OKTA $232.13 $142.12 −39% vs TLS
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $505.17 $249.20 −51% vs TLS
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $189.40 $42.16 −78% vs TLS
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $261.21 $37.31 −86% vs TLS

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Telos Corp · Fair Value
$4.82 +13%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Telos Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TLS

Frequently asked questions

Is Telos Corp (TLS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.82 versus a price of $4.18, about +15% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TLS?
Our model-based fair value for Telos Corp is $4.82 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.18.
What is the quality score of TLS?
Telos Corp has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Telos Corp (TLS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.82 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.92, optimistic scenario $6.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Telos Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.82, about +15% upside versus a price of $4.18 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.92, optimistic scenario $6.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Telos Corp (TLS)?
Telos Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $194M (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Telos Corp (TLS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Telos Corp would have to grow free cash flow by -1.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.7 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TLS use?
Our models discount Telos Corp at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.98, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Telos Corp that is -1.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Telos Corp (TLS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Telos Corp grew -1.7 % a year. The price currently implies -1.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Telos Corp (TLS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Telos Corp (-1.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Telos Corp (TLS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.08 %: that much free cash flow Telos Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Telos Corp (TLS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Telos Corp it is $4.82 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of $4.18. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Telos Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, TLS trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.18, fair value $4.82, a gap of about +15% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TLS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.82). For Telos Corp the two are $0.6400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Telos Corp worth?
The market values Telos Corp at about $324M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is $4.18; our models calculate a fair value of $4.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TLS?
Our models span a range for Telos Corp: cautious scenario $3.92, base $4.82, optimistic $6.36 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price $4.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Telos Corp (TLS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Telos Corp (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity −14.9%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TLS from its 52-week high?
Telos Corp trades at $4.18, about 46% below its 52-week high of $7.76 and 8% above the low of $3.88 (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Telos Corp?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Telos Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price $4.18, calculated fair value $4.82 (+15%), Quality Score 66/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TLS calculated?
We run Telos Corp through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Telos Corp currently trades 13 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Telos Corp (TLS)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was $4.18. Our model-based fair value is $4.82, about +15% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Telos Corp right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Telos Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Telos Corp (TLS)?
The market capitalisation of Telos Corp is $324M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Telos Corp (TLS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Telos Corp is 1.57 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Telos Corp (TLS)?
Earnings per share at Telos Corp are $−0.2200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Telos Corp (TLS)?
The net margin of Telos Corp is −22.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Telos Corp (TLS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Telos Corp is −14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Telos Corp (TLS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Telos Corp is −22.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Telos Corp (TLS)?
The operating margin of Telos Corp is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Telos Corp (TLS)?
Revenue at Telos Corp is growing +32.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Telos Corp (TLS) hold?
Telos Corp holds more cash than debt, $45.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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