Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Palantir Technologies Inc. $42.16, price $193, upside -78.1%, quality 76 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Palantir Technologies Inc.
PLTR · USQuality Too ExpensiveQuality growthExcellent quality, but the valuation looks stretched.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.00 – $207.18 · fair‑value band $23.84 – $81.40 · the $192.59 price screens above the $42.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 25, 2026.
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Company profile
Palantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
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Palantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It provides Palantir Gotham integrates with other platforms for defense offerings which enables users to see, understand, and act in the modern battlespace; operations centers to the tactical edge; integrating data from domains and sensors in near real-time; and situational awareness and accelerating operational decision-making, as well as facilitates the hand-off between analysts and operational users, helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. The company also offers Palantir Foundry, a platform that helps organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place. In addition, it provides Palantir Apollo, a software that delivers software and updates across the business, as well as enables customers to deploy their software virtually in any environment; and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform that provides unified access to open-source, self-hosted, and commercial large language models (LLMs) that can transform structured and unstructured data into LLM-understandable objects and can turn organizations' actions and processes into tools for humans and LLM-driven agents. The company also has a strategic partnership with Ondas Inc. to develop and deploy AI-enabled operational capabilities to scale stratospheric, aerial, and land-based ISR missions. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Aventura, Florida.
Stock analysis
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) currently trades at $192.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $42.16, implying the stock looks roughly 356.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $33.97 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $192.59 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $6.71, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $23.84 (bear) to $81.40 (bull), the price of $192.59 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Palantir Technologies Inc. reported revenue of $4.5B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +30.5%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $495B · P/E ratio 163.9 · P/S ratio 59.5 · EPS (TTM) $1.17 · Net margin 36.3% · Return on equity 38.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% · Operating margin 47.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 61 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −78%, PLTR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
PLTR screens 357% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Compare Palantir Technologies Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 383 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $500.59 | $550.65 | +10% |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $139.54 | $112.26 | −20% |
| Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW | $374.57 | $114.50 | −69% |
| CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD | $259.67 | $37.31 | −86% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $178.67 | $164.68 | −8% |
| Cloudflare, Inc NET | $358.82 | $15.93 | −96% |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $413.06 | $250.04 | −39% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | $74.68 | $101.29 | +36% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $86.90 | $71.79 | −17% |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $192.91 | $157.18 | −19% |
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