Okta Inc (OKTA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Okta Inc $142, price $212, upside -32.9%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Okta Inc
OKTA · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality growthQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
Our calculation puts a fair price 33% below what the stock costs today.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $45.02 – $271.75 · fair‑value band $99.48 – $184.76 · the $211.92 price screens above the $142.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 13, 2026.
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Company profile
Okta, Inc. operates as an identity partner in the United States and internationally.
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It offers Single Sign-on to secure access to cloud and on-premises applications from any device; Adaptive MFA for a risk-based layer of security for an organization's cloud, mobile, and web applications; API Access Management, which enables organizations to secure APIs as systems; Access Gateway, which extends the Okta platform to hybrid IT environments; Okta Device Access, which extends Okta platform's secure access management to the device login experience; Universal Directory for a cloud-based system of record.
The company also provides Identity Threat Protection; Identity Security Posture Management for security measures and safeguards digital assets; Okta for AI Agents to discover, register, authenticate, govern, and manage AI Agents; Identity Governance and Administration products, including Lifecycle Management, Okta Workflows, Okta Identity Governance, and Cross App Access; Advanced Server Access for continuous and contextual access management to secure cloud infrastructure; and Okta Privileged Access to reduce risk with unified access and governance management.
In addition, it provides Universal Login, a standards-based login infrastructure; Attack Protection Suite to minimize risks associated with identity-targeted attacks; Adaptive MFA; Passwordless, which enables users to login without a password; Machine-to-Machine Tokens for authentication and authorization with NHIs; Private Cloud, a deployment option; Organizations, which support a large number of partners or customers; Extensibility, which enables customers to build customized identity flows; Fine Grained Authorization, which manages complex authorization scenarios; and Auth0 for AI Agents to secure and scale agentic applications.
The company was formerly known as Saasure, Inc. Okta, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Stock analysis
Okta Inc (OKTA) currently trades at $211.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $142.12, 32.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $83.66 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $211.92 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $23.90, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $99.48 (bear) to $184.76 (bull), the price of $211.92 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Okta Inc reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2026 versus $1.3B in FY2022, a compound +22.4%/yr. Reported net income was $235M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $38.0B · P/E ratio 123.7 · P/S ratio 9.96 · EPS (TTM) $1.67 · Net margin 8.1% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.4% · Operating margin 13.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 237% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −33%, OKTA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
OKTA screens overvalued: fair value 33% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Recent news
- Okta (OKTA) Is Pushing Phishing Resistant Authentication In The AI Era
- Why the Market Dipped But Okta (OKTA) Gained Today
- Can Okta (OKTA) Stay Expensive After Its 161% Run?
- Is Okta (OKTA) the Hidden AI Play in Enterprise Software?
Compare Okta Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 351 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $543.45 | $597.80 | +10% | vs OKTA |
| Block, Inc XYZ | $76.07 | $76.95 | +1% | vs OKTA |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $194.75 | $164.68 | −15% | vs OKTA |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $142.48 | $112.26 | −21% | vs OKTA |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $204.41 | $157.26 | −23% | vs OKTA |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $77.81 | $58.32 | −25% | vs OKTA |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $505.17 | $249.20 | −51% | vs OKTA |
| MongoDB, Inc MDB | $385.93 | $130.27 | −66% | vs OKTA |
| Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR | $189.40 | $42.16 | −78% | vs OKTA |
| CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD | $261.21 | $37.31 | −86% | vs OKTA |
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Key figures of Okta Inc
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