Terex Corporation (TEX) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $7.7B · ISIN US8807791038
What is Terex Corporation really worth?
Terex Corporation
TEX · US
A solid business, but trading 109% above our fair value of $30.07.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $30.91 to $30.07 (−2.7%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −5.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($52.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($15.37 to $52.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $26.01 – $74.58 · fair‑value band $15.37 – $52.45 · the $62.76 price screens above the $30.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Terex Corporation (TEX) currently trades at $62.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.07, implying the stock looks roughly 108.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $38.25 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $62.76 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $5.71, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Terex Corporation generated revenue of $5.9B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 41.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. Net debt stands at $2.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $15.37 (bear case) to $52.45 (bull case); at $62.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −52%, TEX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.9308 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($38.25) versus Dividend Discount ($5.71). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Terex Corporation manufactures industrial equipment for materials processing machinery, waste and recycling solutions, mobile elevating work platforms, and equipment for the electric utility industry worldwide.
Full company description
Terex Corporation manufactures industrial equipment for materials processing machinery, waste and recycling solutions, mobile elevating work platforms, and equipment for the electric utility industry worldwide. The MP segment offers crushers, washing systems, screens, trommels, apron feeders, material handlers, pick and carry cranes, wood processing, biomass and recycling equipment, concrete mixer trucks and concrete pavers, conveyors, and replacement parts under the Terex, Powerscreen, Fuchs, EvoQuip, Canica, Cedarapids, CBI, Simplicity, Franna, Terex Ecotec, Finlay, ProAll, ZenRobotics, Terex Washing Systems, Terex MPS, Terex Jaques, Advance, Bid-Well, MDS, MARCO, MAGNA, Green-Tec, and Terex Recycling Systems brands. Its products are used in construction, infrastructure, and recycling projects; quarrying, mining, and material handling applications; maintenance applications to lift equipment or material; and landscaping and biomass production industries. The Aerials segment provides aerial work platform equipment, and telehandlers under the Terex and Genie brands; and portable material lifts, portable aerial work platforms, trailer-mounted articulating booms, self-propelled articulating and telescopic booms, and scissor lifts for construction and maintenance of industrial, commercial, institutional, and residential buildings and facilities, commercial operations, and tree trimming and various infrastructure projects. The ES segments offers refuse collection bodies, hydraulic cart lifters, automated carry cans, utility equipment, compaction, balers, recycling equipment, diggers derricks, transmission and distribution lines, construction and foundation drilling applications, insulated aerial devices, and cameras under the Heil, Marathon, 3rd Eye, Soft-Pak, Connected Collections, Parts Central, Curotto-Can, and Bayne Thinline brands; and waste hauler software solutions. The company was founded in 1933 and is based in Norwalk, Connecticut.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Terex Corporation reported revenue of $5.4B in FY2025 versus $3.9B in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was $221M in FY2025, compounding +0.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.0 % · buybacks/dilution +5.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TEX screens 109% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Terex (TEX) Posted A Strong Second Quarter Across All Segments
- Q2 Rundown: Terex (NYSE:TEX) Vs Other Heavy Machinery Stocks
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 150 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $800.25 | $307.83 | −62% |
| Deere & Company DE | $622.66 | $182.29 | −71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 351.40 | kr 288.08 | −18% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $122.45 | $94.80 | −23% |
| Daimler Truck Holding DTG | €45.73 | €47.70 | +4% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 272.80 | kr 144.14 | −47% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €72.10 | €123.44 | +71% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥19.06 | ¥20.84 | +9% |
| Traton SE 8TRA | €37.78 | €52.60 | +39% |
| Metso Oyj METSO | €16.75 | €10.73 | −36% |
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