S&P Global Inc (SPGI) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $135B · ISIN US78409V1044
What is S&P Global Inc really worth?
S&P Global Inc
SPGI · US
A strong business, but trading 129% above our fair value of $196.36.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price +9.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 81/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($299.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range ($135.35 to $299.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $262.68 – $529.29 · fair‑value band $135.35 – $299.66 · the $450.58 price screens above the $196.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
S&P Global Inc (SPGI) currently trades at $450.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $196.36, implying the stock looks roughly 129.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $216.69 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the $450.58 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $60.53, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, S&P Global Inc generated revenue of $15.7B at a net margin of 30.4%. Revenue grew 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.9%. Net debt stands at $12.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $135.35 (bear case) to $299.66 (bull case); at $450.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −56% fair-value upside, at −56%, SPGI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $8.41 per share, which is 4.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($216.69) versus Dividend Discount ($60.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
S&P Global Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides benchmarks, data, analytics, and workflow solutions in the global capital, energy and commodity, and automotive markets. It operates through five segments: S&P Global Market Intelligence, S&P Global Ratings, S&P Global Energy, S&P Global Mobility, and S&P Dow Jones Indices.
Full company description
S&P Global Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides benchmarks, data, analytics, and workflow solutions in the global capital, energy and commodity, and automotive markets. It operates through five segments: S&P Global Market Intelligence, S&P Global Ratings, S&P Global Energy, S&P Global Mobility, and S&P Dow Jones Indices. The S&P Global Market Intelligence segment provides multi-asset-class data and analytics integrated with purpose-built workflow solutions. This segment offers Data, Analytics & Insights, a desktop product suite that provides data, analytics, and third-party research for global finance and corporate professionals; research, reference data, market data, derived analytics, and valuation services; enterprise solutions, such as software and workflow solutions; and credit and risk solutions for selling Ratings' credit ratings and related data and research, analytics, and financial risk solutions. The S&P Global Ratings segment operates as an independent provider of credit ratings, research, and analytics offering investors information and independent benchmarks for their investment and financial decisions as well as access to the capital markets. The S&P Global Energy segment provides information and benchmark prices for the energy and commodity markets. The S&P Global Mobility segment offers solutions for the full automotive value chain, including vehicle manufacturers, automotive suppliers, mobility service providers, retailers, consumers, and finance and insurance companies. The S&P Dow Jones Indices segment operates as an index provider that maintains various valuation and index benchmarks for investment advisors, wealth managers, and institutional investors. It has operations in the United States, European region, Asia, and internationally. S&P Global Inc. was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
S&P Global Inc reported revenue of $15.3B in FY2025 versus $8.3B in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was $4.5B in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +11.7 % · buybacks/dilution −1.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SPGI screens 129% overvalued. Compare with CME Group →
Peer Group
Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 53 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Data & Stock Exchanges stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CME Group CME | $285.80 | $145.51 | −49% |
| Moody's Corporation MCO | $514.95 | $192.63 | −63% |
| Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE | $162.33 | $75.95 | −53% |
| Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited 80388 | HK$360.20 | HK$280.07 | −22% |
| Deutsche Börse AG DB1 | €291.20 | €142.42 | −51% |
| Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ | $99.35 | $41.12 | −59% |
| MSCI Inc MSCI | $570.76 | $214.91 | −62% |
| Coinbase Global, Inc COIN | $190.72 | $73.66 | −61% |
| Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE | $310.45 | $136.64 | −56% |
| Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co 300033 | ¥231.91 | ¥55.36 | −76% |
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