Ryanair Holdings plc (RYA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IE · Market cap €26.9B · ISIN IE00BYTBXV33
What is Ryanair Holdings plc really worth?
A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of €30.50.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €41.26 to €30.50 (−26.1%) since Jul 21, 2026.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€21.68 to €49.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €9.78 – €29.77 · fair‑value band €21.68 – €49.61 · the €23.30 price screens below the €30.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ryanair Holdings plc (RYA) currently trades at €23.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €30.50, implying the stock looks roughly 23.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €51.62 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the €23.30 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €6.50, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ryanair Holdings plc generated revenue of €15.5B at a net margin of 14.0%. Revenue grew 9.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €21.68 (bear case) to €49.61 (bull case); at €23.30, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 45% fair-value upside, at 31%, RYA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.6968 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€51.62) versus Asset-Based (€6.50). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Ryanair Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides scheduled-passenger airline services in Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Full company description
Ryanair Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides scheduled-passenger airline services in Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers various ancillary services; engages in other activities connected with its air passenger service, including non-flight scheduled and Internet-related services, as well as in-flight sale of beverages, food, duty-free, and merchandise; and markets car hire, travel insurance, and accommodation services through its website and mobile app. It also provides passenger and aircraft handling, ticketing, and maintenance and repair services; and markets car parking, fast-track, airport transfers, attractions, and activities on its website and mobile app, as well as sells gift vouchers. Ryanair Holdings plc was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Swords, Ireland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Ryanair Holdings plc reported revenue of €15.5B in FY2026 versus €4.8B in FY2022, a compound +34.1%/yr. Reported net income was €2.2B in FY2026.
of which total revenue +9.3 % · buybacks/dilution +2.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch RYA: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Ryanair Holdings (ISE:RYA) Could Be 46% Undervalued After Fuel Cost Warning
- Ryanair (ISE:RYA) Stock May Trade At A Discount Despite Traffic Target Cuts
- Ryanair Warns Some Airlines Could Struggle with Jet Fuel Price Spike
- Update: Ryanair August Traffic Rises 6%; Cuts 2027 Traffic Target
Peer Group
Airlines · 57 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Airlines median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL | $80.07 | $115.82 | +45% |
| United Airlines Holdings UAL | $110.60 | $175.62 | +59% |
| Southwest Airlines Co LUV | $38.73 | $14.76 | −62% |
| InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO | ₹5,166 | ₹3,073 | −41% |
| Singapore Airlines Limited C6L | 7.09 SGD | 7.89 SGD | +11% |
| Air China Limited 601111 | ¥5.94 | ¥7.16 | +21% |
| LATAM Airlines Group LTM | $52.50 | $106.79 | +103% |
| China Southern Airlines Company 600029 | ¥5.08 | ¥1.28 | −75% |
| Deutsche Lufthansa AG LHA | €7.99 | €18.94 | +137% |
| China Eastern Airlines Corporation 600115 | ¥3.57 | ¥14.20 | +298% |
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