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InterGlobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹2.0T

IA InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO · NSE
Price₹5,310
Fair Value₹6,146
Upside+15.7%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/12)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range ₹5,269 – ₹8,377 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹3,704 to ₹6,146 (+65.9%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +2.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 16% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ₹5,269 (bear) to ₹8,377 (bull), base ₹6,146. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹6,156 ₹1,547 Fair Value ₹6,146 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1,547 – ₹6,156 · fair‑value band ₹5,269 – ₹8,377 · the ₹5,310 price screens below the ₹6,146 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

InterGlobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) currently trades at ₹5,310, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹6,146, implying the stock looks roughly 15.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, InterGlobe Aviation Limited generated revenue of ₹847B at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 82.2%. Net debt stands at ₹537B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹5,269 (bear case) to ₹8,377 (bull case); at ₹5,310, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside, at 16%, INDIGO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹10,431 ₹19,600 ₹38,928 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹5,267 ₹8,884 ₹14,969 74
ROIC Compounder ₹2,983 ₹3,400 ₹3,771 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹11,029 ₹17,403 ₹38,245 38
Owner Earnings ₹3,265 ₹6,816 ₹14,605 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹5,267 ₹7,829 ₹13,005 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹7,342 ₹12,088 ₹21,212 41
10Y Revenue Exit ₹6,797 ₹11,879 ₹14,981 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹8,445 ₹16,328 ₹30,399 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ₹2,983 ₹3,400 ₹3,771 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹96.15 ₹209.91 ₹353.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹96.15 ₹171.95 ₹218.76 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ₹3,968 ₹5,084 ₹6,199 53
EV/EBITDA ₹5,906 ₹7,667 ₹9,429 54
EV/Revenue ₹3,010 ₹4,033 ₹5,057 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹90.14 ₹120.79 ₹180.29 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹10,431 ₹19,600 ₹38,928 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹5,267 ₹8,884 ₹14,969 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ₹2,983 ₹3,400 ₹3,771 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹11,879) versus Asset-Based (₹120.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹847B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.2%
Net margin 3.8%
Return on equity 82.2%
Free cash flow ₹225B FY2026
Operating margin 15.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹-61.84
EPS growth (YoY) -77.6%
Net debt ₹537B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

InterGlobe Aviation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services under the IndiGo brand in India and internationally. The company offers pre-flight and post-flight ground handling operations; passenger and cargo services; and related allied services, such as in-flight sales, and other allied services at the airports.

Full company description

InterGlobe Aviation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services under the IndiGo brand in India and internationally. The company offers pre-flight and post-flight ground handling operations; passenger and cargo services; and related allied services, such as in-flight sales, and other allied services at the airports. It also engages in aircraft and aircraft engine leasing, as well as related financial services. In addition, the company provides cargo transport; charter flights; hotel booking services through its website and mobile app; and cadet pilot program for pilot training. As of March 31, 2025, its fleet consisted of 434 aircraft. The company serves businesses, leisure travelers, students, and families. InterGlobe Aviation Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Gurugram, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

InterGlobe Aviation Limited reported revenue of ₹850B in FY2026 versus ₹257B in FY2022, a compound +34.9%/yr. Reported net income was −₹23.9B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹850B
Latest YoY
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+42.3%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.0%
Revenue +34.9%/yr
FY22 ₹257B
FY23 ₹536B
FY24 ₹674B
FY25 ₹805B
FY26 ₹850B
Net income
FY22 −₹61.6B
FY23 −₹3.1B
FY24 ₹81.7B
FY25 ₹72.6B
FY26 −₹23.9B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +18.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +18.3 pp

of which total revenue +19.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.3 pp

EBIT margin +1.3 pp
Tax rate +3.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −4.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "InterGlobe Aviation Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INDIGO

Peer Group

Airlines · 60 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 82% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Airlines median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 53 · sector 47
FUTURE 31 · sector 45
PAST 100 · sector 47
HEALTH 100 · sector 71
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Insider activity: 20/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL $89.93 $115.82 +29%
United Airlines Holdings UAL $125.12 $175.62 +40%
Ryanair Holdings RYA €25.47 €41.26 +62%
Southwest Airlines Co LUV $44.98 $14.76 -67%
Singapore Airlines Limited C6L 7.09 SGD 7.89 SGD +11%
Air China Limited 601111 ¥5.94 ¥7.16 +21%
China Southern Airlines Company 600029 ¥5.07 ¥1.28 -75%
China Eastern Airlines Corporation 600115 ¥3.57 ¥14.20 +298%
Cathay Pacific Airways Limited 0293 HK$14.80 HK$31.02 +110%
Hainan Airlines Holding 600221 ¥1.34 ¥0.9400 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is InterGlobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹6,146 versus a price of ₹5,310, about +16% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of INDIGO?
Our model-based fair value for InterGlobe Aviation Limited is ₹6,146 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹5,310.
What is the quality score of INDIGO?
InterGlobe Aviation Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of InterGlobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO)?
InterGlobe Aviation Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹847B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of INDIGO?
The net profit margin of InterGlobe Aviation Limited is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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