Delta Air Lines, Inc (DAL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $55.4B
Delta Air Lines, Inc
DAL · US
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from $118.24 to $98.57 (−16.6%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +6.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($56.04 to $138.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $27.05 – $93.43 · fair‑value band $56.04 – $138.40 · the $91.31 price screens below the $98.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Delta Air Lines, Inc (DAL) currently trades at $91.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $98.57, implying the stock looks roughly 8.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Delta Air Lines, Inc generated revenue of $65.2B at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 12.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.0%. Net debt stands at $16.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $56.04 (bear case) to $138.40 (bull case); at $91.31, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at 8%, DAL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($143.98) versus Dividend Discount ($10.38). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Delta Air Lines, Inc. provides scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Airline and Refinery. Its domestic network centered on core hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St.
Full company description
Delta Air Lines, Inc. provides scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Airline and Refinery. Its domestic network centered on core hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Salt Lake City, as well as coastal hub positions in Boston, Los Angeles, New York-LaGuardia, New York-JFK, and Seattle; and international network centered on hubs and market presence in Amsterdam, Bogota, Lima, Mexico City, London-Heathrow, Paris-Charles de Gaulle, Santiago (Chile), Sao Paulo, Seoul-Incheon, and Tokyo. It also provides aircraft maintenance and engineering support, repair, and overhaul services; and vacation packages. The company operates through a fleet of approximately 1,314 aircraft. Delta Air Lines, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Delta Air Lines, Inc reported revenue of $63.4B in FY2025 versus $29.9B in FY2021, a compound +20.7%/yr. Reported net income was $5.0B in FY2025, compounding +105.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +2.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Airlines · 60 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Airlines median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines Holdings UAL | $125.12 | $175.62 | +40% |
| Ryanair Holdings RYA | €25.47 | €41.26 | +62% |
| Southwest Airlines Co LUV | $44.98 | $14.76 | -67% |
| InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO | ₹5,333 | ₹3,073 | -42% |
| Singapore Airlines Limited C6L | 7.09 SGD | 7.89 SGD | +11% |
| Air China Limited 601111 | ¥5.94 | ¥7.16 | +21% |
| China Southern Airlines Company 600029 | ¥5.07 | ¥1.28 | -75% |
| China Eastern Airlines Corporation 600115 | ¥3.57 | ¥14.20 | +298% |
| Cathay Pacific Airways Limited 0293 | HK$14.80 | HK$31.02 | +110% |
| Hainan Airlines Holding 600221 | ¥1.34 | ¥0.9400 | -30% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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