Renault SA (RNO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €7.5B · ISIN FR0000131906
What is Renault SA really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 34% below our fair value of €44.30.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 31, 2026, revised from €26.25 to €44.30 (+68.8%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +3.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€31.70). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €18.04 – €47.84 · fair‑value band €31.70 – €56.64 · the €29.14 price screens below the €44.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
Analysis
Renault SA (RNO) currently trades at €29.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €44.30, implying the stock looks roughly 34.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €48.06 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the €29.14 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €26.65, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Renault SA generated revenue of €57.9B at a net margin of −18.9%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −40.4%. Net debt stands at €50.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €31.70 (bear case) to €56.64 (bull case); at €29.14, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 52%, RNO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€48.06) versus Dividend Discount (€26.65). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Renault SA engages in the design, manufacture, sale, repair, maintenance, and leasing of motor vehicles in Europe, Eurasia, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates through Automotive, Sales Financing, and Mobility Services segments.
Full company description
Renault SA engages in the design, manufacture, sale, repair, maintenance, and leasing of motor vehicles in Europe, Eurasia, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates through Automotive, Sales Financing, and Mobility Services segments. The Automotive segment produces, sells, and distributes passenger cars and light commercial vehicles. The Sale Financing segment is involved in the sales financing, rental, maintenance, and service contracts under the Mobilize Financial Services trade name. The Mobility Services segment provides mobility and energy solutions for electric vehicle users under the Mobilize Beyond Automotive brand. It offers used vehicles and spare parts; and engages in the business-to-business powertrain activities, and research and advanced engineering activities. The company also engages in the design and production of parts and equipment used for manufacturing and operation of vehicles. It serves commercial, light commercial and passenger vehicles, tractors, farm machinery and construction equipment under the Renault, Dacia, and Alpine brands. The company was founded in 1898 and is based in Boulogne-Billancourt, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Renault SA reported revenue of €57.9B in FY2025 versus €41.7B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was −€10.9B in FY2025.
of which total revenue +2.0 % · buybacks/dilution −0.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Renault (ENXTPA:RNO) Reaffirms 2026 Guidance, Is The Rebound Leaving Value On The Table?
- Renault (ENXTPA:RNO) Stock May Be 45% Undervalued As Profit Guidance Holds
- Renault SA (RNLSY) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Revenue Surges 9. ...
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $188.78 | $228.25 | +21% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$76.90 | HK$48.59 | −37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 418,500 KRW | 567,393 KRW | +36% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | €355.50 | €167.67 | −53% |
| General Motors Company GM | $86.27 | $52.69 | −39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | $13.88 | $11.51 | −17% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group MBG | €46.95 | €106.16 | +126% |
| Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 | €43.91 | €17.34 | −61% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹12,694 | ₹8,236 | −35% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW3 | €77.42 | €248.34 | +221% |
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