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Renault SA (RNO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €7.5B

RS Renault SA RNO · PA
Price€28.63
Fair Value€45.17
Upside+57.8%
Quality35/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -18.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
8.40% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Low Range €32.31 – €57.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €28.74 to €45.17 (+57.2%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +6.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 58% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€32.31). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€47.84 €18.04 Fair Value €45.17 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €18.04 – €47.84 · fair‑value band €32.31 – €57.75 · the €28.63 price screens below the €45.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Renault SA (RNO) currently trades at €28.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €45.17, implying the stock looks roughly 57.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Renault SA generated revenue of €57.9B at a net margin of -18.9%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -40.4%. Net debt stands at €50.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €32.31 (bear case) to €57.75 (bull case); at €28.63, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 58%, RNO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €19.24 €27.14 €35.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage €19.24 €26.65 €34.92 61
NCAV (Graham) €35.87 €48.06 €71.73 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €19.24 €27.14 €35.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage €19.24 €26.65 €34.92 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €35.87 €48.06 €71.73 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€48.06) versus Dividend Discount (€26.65). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €57.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.4%
Net margin -18.9%
Return on equity -40.4%
Free cash flow −€705M FY2025
Operating margin 6.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-39.99
Dividend yield 8.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -39.4%
Net debt €50.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Renault SA engages in the design, manufacture, sale, repair, maintenance, and leasing of motor vehicles in Europe, Eurasia, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates through Automotive, Sales Financing, and Mobility Services segments.

Full company description

Renault SA engages in the design, manufacture, sale, repair, maintenance, and leasing of motor vehicles in Europe, Eurasia, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates through Automotive, Sales Financing, and Mobility Services segments. The Automotive segment produces, sells, and distributes passenger cars and light commercial vehicles. The Sale Financing segment is involved in the sales financing, rental, maintenance, and service contracts under the Mobilize Financial Services trade name. The Mobility Services segment provides mobility and energy solutions for electric vehicle users under the Mobilize Beyond Automotive brand. It offers used vehicles and spare parts; and engages in the business-to-business powertrain activities, and research and advanced engineering activities. The company also engages in the design and production of parts and equipment used for manufacturing and operation of vehicles. It serves commercial, light commercial and passenger vehicles, tractors, farm machinery and construction equipment under the Renault, Dacia, and Alpine brands. The company was founded in 1898 and is based in Boulogne-Billancourt, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Renault SA reported revenue of €57.9B in FY2025 versus €41.7B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was −€10.9B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 25/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€57.9B
Latest YoY
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.0%
Revenue +8.6%/yr
FY21 €41.7B
FY22 €46.3B
FY23 €52.4B
FY24 €56.2B
FY25 €57.9B
Net income
FY21 €888M
FY22 −€354M
FY23 €2.2B
FY24 €752M
FY25 −€10.9B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −7.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.9 pp

of which total revenue +2.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp

EBIT margin −0.3 pp
Tax rate −1.9 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −6.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Renault SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RNO

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside +58% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.22× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.42× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.81× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 33
FUTURE 17 · sector 33
PAST 0 · sector 20
HEALTH 89 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 46

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $188.22 $247.83 +32%
BYD Company 81211 HK$76.90 HK$48.59 -37%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 418,500 KRW 567,393 KRW +36%
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N 1,909 MXN 2,610 MXN +37%
Volkswagen AG VOW 2,149 CZK 7,783 CZK +262%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹13,875 ₹8,236 -41%
Kia Corporation 000270 135,600 KRW 341,751 KRW +152%
Weichai Power Co 2338 HK$36.40 HK$28.46 -22%
Geely Automobile Holdings 80175 HK$15.50 HK$19.14 +23%
Bajaj Auto Limited BAJAJAUTO ₹11,700 ₹4,574 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Renault SA (RNO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €45.17 versus a price of €28.63, about +58% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RNO?
Our model-based fair value for Renault SA is €45.17 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €28.63.
What is the quality score of RNO?
Renault SA has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Renault SA (RNO)?
Renault SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €57.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RNO?
The net profit margin of Renault SA is about -18.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Renault SA pay a dividend?
Renault SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.41% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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