Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $9.0B · ISIN US6882392011
What is Oshkosh Corporation really worth?
Oshkosh Corporation
OSK · US
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of $168.67.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −0.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($95.69 to $231.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $65.88 – $177.16 · fair‑value band $95.69 – $231.53 · the $156.36 price screens below the $168.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) currently trades at $156.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $168.67, implying the stock looks roughly 7.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $205.40 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the $156.36 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $31.63, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Oshkosh Corporation generated revenue of $10.4B at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $95.69 (bear case) to $231.53 (bull case); at $156.36, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 8%, OSK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $4.66 per share, which is 2.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($205.40) versus Dividend Discount ($31.63). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Oshkosh Corporation provides purpose-built vehicles and equipment worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Access, Vocational, and Transport segment.
Full company description
Oshkosh Corporation provides purpose-built vehicles and equipment worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Access, Vocational, and Transport segment. The Access segment designs and manufactures aerial work platform and telehandlers for use in construction, industrial, and maintenance applications; and towing and recovery equipment, which includes carriers, wreckers, and rotators, as well as provides financing and leasing solutions, including rental fleet loans, leases, and floor plan and retail financing. This segment also offers equipment installation and sale of chassis and service parts, as well as offers parts and accessories. The Transport segment engages in the manufacture and sale of heavy, medium, and light tactical wheeled vehicles and related services for defense; and hauling combat vehicles, missile systems, ammunition, fuel, and troops and cargos. The Vocational segment offers custom and commercial firefighting equipment, fire apparatus, and emergency vehicles, including pumpers, aerial platform, ladder and tiller trucks, and tankers; light, medium, and heavy-duty rescue vehicles; and wildland rough terrain response other emergency response vehicles. This segment also produces and sells aircraft rescue and firefighting vehicles; airport ground support equipment; baggage, airport facility and operations, and equipment-monitoring technology services; refuse and recycling collection vehicles and components; and IMT-branded field service vehicles and truck-mounted cranes, frontline communications-branded simulators, command vehicles and other communication vehicles, and front-discharge concrete mixer vehicles. The company sells its products through direct sales representatives, dealers, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Oshkosh Truck Corporation. Oshkosh Corporation was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Oshkosh, Wisconsin.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Oshkosh Corporation reported revenue of $10.4B in FY2025 versus $7.7B in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was $647M in FY2025, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.4 % · buybacks/dilution −8.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Oshkosh (OSK) Up 10.3% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
- Secretary of War Pete Hegseth Visits Oshkosh Corporation, Highlighting the Strength of American Manufacturing and the Arsenal of Freedom
- Here's Why You Should Retain Oshkosh Stock in Your Portfolio
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 150 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $800.25 | $307.83 | −62% |
| Deere & Company DE | $622.66 | $182.29 | −71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 351.40 | kr 288.08 | −18% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $122.45 | $94.80 | −23% |
| Daimler Truck Holding DTG | €45.73 | €47.70 | +4% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 272.80 | kr 144.14 | −47% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €72.10 | €123.44 | +71% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥19.06 | ¥20.84 | +9% |
| Traton SE 8TRA | €37.78 | €52.60 | +39% |
| Metso Oyj METSO | €16.75 | €10.73 | −36% |
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