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Omnicom Group (OMC) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $23.0B

OG Omnicom Group logo Omnicom Group OMC · US
Price$88.36
Fair Value$99.84
Upside+13.0%
Quality40/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.63% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range $79.47 – $132.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +9.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $79.47 (bear) to $132.65 (bull), base $99.84. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 40/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$98.79 $53.94 Fair Value $99.84 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $53.94 – $98.79 · fair‑value band $79.47 – $132.65 · the $88.36 price screens below the $99.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Omnicom Group (OMC) currently trades at $88.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $99.84, implying the stock looks roughly 13.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Omnicom Group generated revenue of $19.8B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 69.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at $5.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $79.47 (bear case) to $132.65 (bull case); at $88.36, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -17% fair-value upside, at 13%, OMC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $109.56 $162.79 $238.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF $86.93 $135.94 $192.03 74
ROIC Compounder $80.24 $102.18 $127.91 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $107.49 $167.28 $257.77 38
Owner Earnings $0.1500 $1.70 $4.05 31
5Y Revenue Exit $86.93 $135.25 $195.98 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $88.05 $137.32 $193.75 41
10Y Revenue Exit $90.88 $136.60 $196.34 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $94.09 $138.03 $194.65 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $75.06 $88.02 $99.37 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $17.71 $36.81 $58.40 70
DDM Multi-Stage $17.71 $28.88 $38.64 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $106.17 $142.47 $178.76 53
EV/EBITDA $87.69 $117.82 $147.96 54
EV/Revenue $79.86 $115.24 $150.63 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $21.13 $28.32 $42.27 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $109.56 $162.79 $238.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF $86.93 $135.94 $192.03 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $80.24 $102.18 $127.91 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($136.60) versus Asset-Based ($28.32). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $19.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +69.2%
Net margin 0.3%
Return on equity 2.0%
Free cash flow $2.8B FY2025
Operating margin 11.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3600
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -6.9%
Net debt $5.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Omnicom Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers advertising, marketing, and corporate communications services. It provides a range of services in the areas of media and advertising, precision marketing, public relations, healthcare, branding and retail commerce, experiential, execution, and support.

Full company description

Omnicom Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers advertising, marketing, and corporate communications services. It provides a range of services in the areas of media and advertising, precision marketing, public relations, healthcare, branding and retail commerce, experiential, execution, and support. The company's services include advertising, branding, content marketing, crisis communications, customer data analytics and data-driven decision making, customer relationship management, decision sciences, digital experience design, digital transformation, e-commerce optimization, entertainment marketing, experiential marketing, field marketing, healthcare marketing and communications, in-store design, investor relations, and marketing research.Its services also comprise media planning and buying, merchandising and point of sale, mobile marketing, multi-cultural marketing, organizational communications, package design, performance marketing, product placement, promotional marketing, public affairs, public relations, retail media and e-commerce, shopper marketing, structured innovation, studio production, social media and influencer marketing, and sports and event marketing. It operates in the North and Latin America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA), and the Asia Pacific. The company was incorporated in 1944 and is based in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Omnicom Group reported revenue of $17.3B in FY2025 versus $14.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$54.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$17.3B
Latest YoY
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.5%
Revenue +4.9%/yr
FY21 $14.3B
FY22 $14.3B
FY23 $14.7B
FY24 $15.7B
FY25 $17.3B
Net income
FY21 $1.4B
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 −$54.5M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +5.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.4 pp

of which total revenue −0.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +2.5 pp

EBIT margin +1.6 pp
Tax rate +1.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Omnicom Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OMC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +13% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 69% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.64× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.91× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.16× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 8.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 15.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 51 · sector 24
FUTURE 100 · sector 6
PAST 8 · sector 5
HEALTH 68 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 73 · sector 67

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $303.76 $252.45 -17%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €99.98 €146.36 +46%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.29 ¥5.71 +8%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $13.49 $29.07 +115%
JCDecaux SE DEC €24.00 €20.99 -13%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥37.40 ¥5.62 -85%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.04 HK$6.43 -42%
Affle 3i Limited AFFLE ₹1,643 ₹611.48 -63%
Guangdong Advertising Group 002400 ¥7.33 ¥1.14 -84%
Zhewen Interactive Group 600986 ¥8.24 ¥1.47 -82%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Omnicom Group (OMC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $99.84 versus a price of $88.36, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OMC?
Our model-based fair value for Omnicom Group is $99.84 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $88.36.
What is the quality score of OMC?
Omnicom Group has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Omnicom Group (OMC)?
Omnicom Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $19.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OMC?
The net profit margin of Omnicom Group is about 0.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Omnicom Group pay a dividend?
Omnicom Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.95% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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