Olin Corporation (OLN) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.4B · ISIN US6806652052
What is Olin Corporation really worth?
Olin Corporation
OLN · US
Below-average quality, trading 38% below our fair value of $27.41.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Sep 5, 2026, revised from $19.75 to $27.41 (+38.8%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price −10.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($9.21 to $30.84). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $16.97 – $61.20 · fair‑value band $9.21 – $30.84 · the $16.97 price screens below the $27.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Olin Corporation (OLN) currently trades at $16.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.41, implying the stock looks roughly 38.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $32.50 per share, and 3 of the 9 models we run sit above the $16.97 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $10.74, and 6 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Olin Corporation generated revenue of $6.7B at a net margin of −2.8%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −9.8%. Net debt stands at $3.2B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.21 (bear case) to $30.84 (bull case); at $16.97, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 62%, OLN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($32.50) versus Growth DCF ($10.74). Highest evidence: 5Y EBITDA Exit (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Olin Corporation manufactures and distributes chemical products in the United States, Europe, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, and India Middle East, Africa, India, Latin America, and Canada. It operates through three segments: Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls; Epoxy; and Winchester.
Full company description
Olin Corporation manufactures and distributes chemical products in the United States, Europe, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, and India Middle East, Africa, India, Latin America, and Canada. It operates through three segments: Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls; Epoxy; and Winchester. The Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment offers chlorine and caustic soda, ethylene dichloride and vinyl chloride monomers, methyl chloride, methylene chloride, chloroform, carbon tetrachloride, perchloroethylene, hydrochloric acid, hydrogen, bleach products, potassium hydroxide, and chlorinated organics intermediates and solvents. The Epoxy segment provides Allylics, such as allyl chloride, epichlorohydrin, and glycerin; aromatics, including acetone, and phenol; bisphenol, caustic soda, cumene, liquid and solid epoxy resins; and converted epoxy resins and additives. The Winchester segment offers sporting ammunition products, including shotshells, small caliber centerfire, and rimfire ammunition products for hunters, competitive, and recreational shooters, and law enforcement agencies; small caliber military ammunition products for use in infantry and mounted weapons; and industrial products comprising 8-gauge loads and powder-actuated tool loads for maintenance applications in power and concrete industries, and powder-actuated tools in construction industry. The company markets its products through its sales force, as well as directly to various industrial customers, mass merchants, retailers, wholesalers, gun clubs, other distributors, and the U.S. Government and its prime contractors. Olin Corporation was incorporated in 1892 and is based in Clayton, Missouri.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Olin Corporation reported revenue of $6.8B in FY2025 versus $8.9B in FY2021, a compound −6.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$42.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Chemicals · 339 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 | 49.50 SAR | 18.13 SAR | −63% |
| A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP | $849.00 | $203.64 | −76% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥24.49 | ¥20.17 | −18% |
| Dow Inc DOW | $30.51 | $21.03 | −31% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥41.32 | ¥21.62 | −48% |
| Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 | ¥13.76 | ¥2.39 | −83% |
| Zangge Mining Company 000408 | ¥78.04 | ¥20.99 | −73% |
| Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 | ¥52.53 | ¥16.17 | −69% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,855 IDR | 1,584 IDR | −15% |
| Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 | ¥18.87 | ¥17.09 | −9% |
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