Zangge Holding Co Ltd (000408) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 109B CNY (≈ $16.2B) · ISIN CNE000000L08
What is Zangge Holding Co Ltd really worth?
A strong business, but trading 260% above our fair value of ¥20.99.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥22.76 to ¥20.99 (−7.8%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −6.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 78/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥16.09 to ¥82.88). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.43 – ¥93.25 · fair‑value band ¥16.09 – ¥82.88 · the ¥75.62 price screens above the ¥20.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Zangge Holding Co Ltd (000408) currently trades at ¥75.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥20.99, implying the stock looks roughly 260.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥112.41 per share, and 7 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥75.62 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.94, and 18 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 3.7B CNY. Revenue grew 29.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥16.09 (bear case) to ¥82.88 (bull case); at ¥75.62, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 112% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −72%, 000408 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.3248 per share, which is 1.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥112.41) versus Asset-Based (¥6.94). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Zangge Mining Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, manufactures, and sells potassium chloride and lithium carbonate in China and internationally.
Full company description
Zangge Mining Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, manufactures, and sells potassium chloride and lithium carbonate in China and internationally. The company is also involved in mineral product development; investment activities; trade business; research and development of lithium extraction technology; and import and export of goods activities. In addition, it engages in the mining of copper, silver, and molybdenum deposits. The company was formerly known as Zangge Holding Company Limited and changed its name to Zangge Mining Company Limited in December 2021. Zangge Mining Company Limited was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Golmud, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zangge Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was 3.9B CNY in FY2025, compounding +28.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.6 % · buybacks/dilution −2.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
000408 screens 260% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 339 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 | 49.50 SAR | 18.13 SAR | −63% |
| A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP | $849.00 | $203.64 | −76% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥24.49 | ¥20.17 | −18% |
| Dow Inc DOW | $30.51 | $21.03 | −31% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥41.32 | ¥21.62 | −48% |
| Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 | ¥13.76 | ¥2.39 | −83% |
| Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 | ¥52.53 | ¥16.17 | −69% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,855 IDR | 1,584 IDR | −15% |
| Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 | ¥18.87 | ¥17.09 | −9% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 263,000 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +123% |
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