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Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 109B CNY (≈ $16.3B) · ISIN CNE100000W60

What is Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd really worth?

RP Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd 002493 · SHE
Price¥14.38
Fair Value¥2.39
Upside−83.4%
Quality39/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 502% above our fair value of ¥2.39.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +23.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/15)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 28 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100

For context

·0.70% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range ¥1.67 – ¥2.39

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 20 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price +19.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.25 ¥7.56 Fair Value ¥2.39 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.56 – ¥21.25 · fair‑value band ¥1.67 – ¥2.39 · the ¥14.38 price screens above the ¥2.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493) currently trades at ¥14.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.39, implying the stock looks roughly 501.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ¥13.51 per share, and 4 of the 18 models we run sit above the ¥14.38 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥1.44, and 14 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd generated revenue of 294B CNY at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue declined 19.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at 159B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.67 (bear case) to ¥2.39 (bull case); at ¥14.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −83%, 002493 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1495 per share, which is 5.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.2900 to ¥21.88). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥4.70 77
Residual Income ¥3.09 ¥2.98 ¥2.37 76
Growth DCF ¥4.63 75
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.70 77
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.40 ¥17.54 69
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.71 ¥20.35 ¥50.41 66
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.03 ¥13.56 64
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.65 ¥21.88 ¥61.39 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.5800 ¥4.03 ¥5.65 63
Lynch FV ¥1.39 ¥1.98 ¥2.57 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.39 ¥1.98 ¥2.57 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥7.70 ¥16.02 ¥25.41 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥7.70 ¥13.51 ¥16.81 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.08 ¥1.44 ¥1.80 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.08 ¥1.44 ¥1.80 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.08 ¥1.44 ¥1.80 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.15 ¥4.17 61
EV/EBITDA ¥8.59 ¥15.09 ¥21.59 65
EV/Revenue ¥0.2900 ¥3.65 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.18 ¥2.92 ¥4.36 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.63 75
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.09 ¥2.98 ¥2.37 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.67 ¥2.39 ¥3.11 67

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥13.51) versus Multiples (¥1.44). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 44.9
P/S ratio 0.12 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3200 price ÷ EPS = P/E 44.9
Dividend yield 0.7% payout 31.3%
Net margin 0.3% FY2025
Return on equity 7.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 12.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 294B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −19.1% 3y avg +2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +383%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 2.7B CNY FY2025
Net debt 159B CNY FY2025 · ≈ 58.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 61
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Rongsheng Petrochemical Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of chemical, oil, and polyester products in China.

Full company description

Rongsheng Petrochemical Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of chemical, oil, and polyester products in China. It also provides polyolefins, aromatics, chemical and oil products, etc., which are widely used in covering new energy; new materials; organic chemicals; synthetic fibers, resins, and rubber; oil products, and other fields. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Hangzhou, China. Rongsheng Petrochemical Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Zhejiang Rongsheng Holding Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd reported revenue of 309B CNY in FY2025 versus 183B CNY in FY2021, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was 848M CNY in FY2025, compounding −49.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
309B CNY
Latest YoY
−5.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−34.1% (−34.8 + 0.7)
Revenue +13.9%/yr
FY21 183B CNY
FY22 289B CNY
FY23 325B CNY
FY24 326B CNY
FY25 309B CNY
Net income −49.7%/yr
FY21 13.2B CNY
FY22 3.3B CNY
FY23 1.2B CNY
FY24 724M CNY
FY25 848M CNY

002493 screens 502% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002493

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Chemicals · 339 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth −19% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 2.81× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.51× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.37× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.02× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 22
PAST28 · sector 20
HEALTH0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND14 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 49.50 SAR 18.13 SAR −63%
A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP $849.00 $203.64 −76%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥24.49 ¥20.17 −18%
Dow Inc DOW $30.51 $21.03 −31%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥41.32 ¥21.62 −48%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥78.04 ¥20.99 −73%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥52.53 ¥16.17 −69%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,855 IDR 1,584 IDR −15%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥18.87 ¥17.09 −9%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 263,000 KRW 587,755 KRW +123%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.39 versus a price of ¥14.38, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002493?
Our model-based fair value for Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is ¥2.39 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥14.38.
What is the quality score of 002493?
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 294B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002493?
The net profit margin of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is about 1.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.70% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 27, 2026).
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