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Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 161T IDR (≈ $16.1B) · ISIN ID1000085707

What is Barito Pacific Tbk really worth?

BP Barito Pacific Tbk BRPT · JK
Price1,790 IDR
Fair Value1,584 IDR
Upside−11.5%
Quality46/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 13% above our fair value of 1,584 IDR.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +26.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.0% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Moderate moat 56/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range 1,188 IDR to 3,993 IDR
!Weak on valuation: 18 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range 1,188 IDR – 3,993 IDR

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from 1,608 IDR to 1,584 IDR (−1.5%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −4.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (1,188 IDR to 3,993 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

4,280 IDR 600.00 IDR Fair Value 1,584 IDR Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 600.00 IDR – 4,280 IDR · fair‑value band 1,188 IDR – 3,993 IDR · the 1,790 IDR price screens above the 1,584 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) currently trades at 1,790 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,584 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 13.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 4,049 IDR per share, and 4 of the 11 models we run sit above the 1,790 IDR price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 176.03 IDR, and 7 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Barito Pacific Tbk generated revenue of 9.4B IDR at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue grew 232.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.8%. Net debt stands at 5.1B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1,188 IDR (bear case) to 3,993 IDR (bull case); at 1,790 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −11%, BRPT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 74.43 IDR per share, which is 4.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E 2,816 IDR 4,049 IDR 5,105 IDR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 176.03 IDR 176.03 IDR 176.03 IDR 65
Gordon GGM 176.03 IDR 176.03 IDR 352.06 IDR 64
All 11 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 704.12 IDR 4,401 IDR 6,161 IDR 61
Lynch FV 2,288 IDR 3,169 IDR 4,225 IDR 59
PEG = 1.0 2,288 IDR 3,169 IDR 4,225 IDR 55
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 176.03 IDR 176.03 IDR 352.06 IDR 64
DDM Multi-Stage 176.03 IDR 176.03 IDR 176.03 IDR 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,232 IDR 1,584 IDR 1,936 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 1,232 IDR 1,584 IDR 1,936 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 880.16 IDR 1,232 IDR 1,584 IDR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 176.03 IDR 352.06 IDR 352.06 IDR 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income 704.12 IDR 880.16 IDR 6,513 IDR 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2,816 IDR 4,049 IDR 5,105 IDR 66

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (4,049 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (176.03 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (66).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 16.5
P/S ratio 1.06 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 108.67 IDR price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.5
Net margin 6.4% FY2025
Return on equity 34.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 19.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 9.4B IDR TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +232% 3y avg +37.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +461%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −604M IDR FY2025
Net debt 5.1B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 28
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PT Barito Pacific Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the petrochemical production business. It operates through Petrochemical and Refinery, Building and Hotel Management, Energy and Resources, Property, and Others segments. The company produces a palette of olefins, polyolefins, styrene monomer, and butadiene, including by-products.

Full company description

PT Barito Pacific Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the petrochemical production business. It operates through Petrochemical and Refinery, Building and Hotel Management, Energy and Resources, Property, and Others segments. The company produces a palette of olefins, polyolefins, styrene monomer, and butadiene, including by-products. It also operates geothermal energy resources and wind power plant projects. In addition, the company engages in the development and construction of industrial and commercial properties; marine transportation; logistics; and glue production for particleboards. Further, it provides management consultation services. The company was formerly known as PT Barito Pacific Timber Tbk and changed its name to PT Barito Pacific Tbk in August 2007. PT Barito Pacific Tbk was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Barito Pacific Tbk reported revenue of $7.6B in FY2025 versus $3.2B in FY2021, a compound +24.7%/yr. Reported net income was $490M in FY2025, compounding +13.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.6B IDR
Latest YoY
+219.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+28.3% (28.3 + 0.0)
Revenue +24.7%/yr
FY21 $3.2B
FY22 $3.0B
FY23 $2.8B
FY24 $2.4B
FY25 $7.6B
Net income +13.4%/yr
FY21 $296M
FY22 $32.2M
FY23 $26.1M
FY24 $56.5M
FY25 $490M

BRPT screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Barito Pacific Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRPT

Peer Group

Chemicals · 339 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −12% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 232% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 3.03× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 7.18× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.71× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 35.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE18 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 22
PAST100 · sector 20
HEALTH0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND0 · sector 32

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 49.50 SAR 18.13 SAR −63%
A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP $849.00 $203.64 −76%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥24.49 ¥20.17 −18%
Dow Inc DOW $30.51 $21.03 −31%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥41.32 ¥21.62 −48%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.76 ¥2.39 −83%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥78.04 ¥20.99 −73%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥52.53 ¥16.17 −69%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥18.87 ¥17.09 −9%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 263,000 KRW 587,755 KRW +123%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,584 IDR versus a price of 1,790 IDR, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BRPT?
Our model-based fair value for Barito Pacific Tbk is 1,584 IDR (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,790 IDR.
What is the quality score of BRPT?
Barito Pacific Tbk has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Barito Pacific Tbk (BRPT)?
Barito Pacific Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.4B IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BRPT?
The net profit margin of Barito Pacific Tbk is about 6.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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