Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · Il · Market cap 21.4B ILA · ISIN IL0011765935
What is Next Vision Stabilized Systems really worth?
A solid business, but trading 277% above our fair value of 56.58 ILA.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −7.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (71.11 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (36.62 ILA to 71.11 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.22 ILA – 392.20 ILA · fair‑value band 36.62 ILA – 71.11 ILA · the 213.10 ILA price screens above the 56.58 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Next Vision Stabilized Systems (NXSN) currently trades at 213.10 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 56.58 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 276.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 61.45 ILA per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 213.10 ILA price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 6.27 ILA, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Next Vision Stabilized Systems generated revenue of 200M ILA at a net margin of 60.8%. Revenue grew 86.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 81.5M ILA. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 36.62 ILA (bear case) to 71.11 ILA (bull case); at 213.10 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at −73%, NXSN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 2.10 ILS per share, which is 3.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (61.45 ILA) versus Asset-Based (4.47 ILA). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (71).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a stabilized day and night cameras for ground and aerial vehicles in Israel and internationally. The company offers micro and mini UAVs and drones.
Full company description
NextVision Stabilized Systems, Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a stabilized day and night cameras for ground and aerial vehicles in Israel and internationally. The company offers micro and mini UAVs and drones. It also provides accessories, such as camera mounting fixture, damping fixture, third axis, and interface cables, as well as the TRIP, which allows communication between the camera and the platform's autopilot. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Ra'anana, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Next Vision Stabilized Systems reported revenue of $182M in FY2025 versus $15.0M in FY2021, a compound +86.6%/yr. Reported net income was $112M in FY2025, compounding +110.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
NXSN screens 277% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 108 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 360.50 | kr 269.97 | −25% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €9.33 | €12.40 | +33% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $166.11 | $127.80 | −23% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 147.90 | kr 186.34 | +26% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.46 | ¥31.47 | +91% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $190.34 | $116.42 | −39% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.44 | $16.68 | +124% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $113.12 | $121.18 | +7% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $93.25 | $72.32 | −22% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $31.81 | $25.50 | −20% |
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