Mazda Motor Corp ADR (MZDAY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.6B · ISIN US5787871038
What is Mazda Motor Corp ADR really worth?
Mazda Motor Corp ADR
MZDAY · US
Below-average quality, trading 38% below our fair value of $6.18.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $4.09 to $6.18 (+51.0%) since Aug 12, 2026. Share price +8.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($4.62). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.35 – $5.50 · fair‑value band $4.62 – $7.72 · the $3.80 price screens below the $6.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Mazda Motor Corp ADR (MZDAY) currently trades at $3.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.18, implying the stock looks roughly 38.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $7.33 per share, and 7 of the 15 models we run sit above the $3.80 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.03, and 8 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Mazda Motor Corp ADR generated revenue of ¥4.9T at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥215B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.62 (bear case) to $7.72 (bull case); at $3.80, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 63%, MZDAY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($7.33) versus Earnings-Based ($1.03). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Mazda Motor Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of passenger cars and commercial vehicles in Japan, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Toyo Kogyo Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Mazda Motor Corporation in May 1984.
Full company description
Mazda Motor Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of passenger cars and commercial vehicles in Japan, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Toyo Kogyo Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Mazda Motor Corporation in May 1984. Mazda Motor Corporation was incorporated in 1920 and is headquartered in Hiroshima, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Mazda Motor Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥5.2T in FY2026 versus ¥3.1T in FY2022, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥37.2B in FY2026, compounding −17.8%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +5.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch MZDAY: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Should Value Investors Buy Mazda Motor (MZDAY) Stock?
- Are Investors Undervaluing Mazda Motor (MZDAY) Right Now?
- Mazda Motor (TSE:7261) Following Its Profit Turnaround, Is The Recovery Now A Bargain?
- Mazda’s Return To Profitability And Reaffirmed Guidance Might Change The Case For Investing In Mazda Motor (TSE:7261)
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $188.78 | $228.25 | +21% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$76.90 | HK$48.59 | −37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 418,500 KRW | 567,393 KRW | +36% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | €355.50 | €167.67 | −53% |
| General Motors Company GM | $86.27 | $52.69 | −39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | $13.88 | $11.51 | −17% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group MBG | €46.95 | €106.16 | +126% |
| Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 | €43.91 | €17.34 | −61% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹12,694 | ₹8,236 | −35% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW3 | €77.42 | €248.34 | +221% |
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