Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $2.7B
What is Medical Properties Trust, Inc. really worth?
Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
MPT · US
Below-average quality, trading 47% below our fair value of $7.57.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −13.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($1.80 to $13.35). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.52 – $16.25 · fair‑value band $1.80 – $13.35 · the $4.04 price screens below the $7.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPT) currently trades at $4.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.57, implying the stock looks roughly 46.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $7.98 per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the $4.04 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $4.54, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Medical Properties Trust, Inc. generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of −11.5%. Revenue grew 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.7%. Net debt stands at $9.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.80 (bear case) to $13.35 (bull case); at $4.04, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 87%, MPT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($7.98) versus Multiples ($4.54). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. is a self-advised real estate investment trust to acquire and develop net-leased hospital facilities.
Full company description
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. is a self-advised real estate investment trust to acquire and develop net-leased hospital facilities. From its inception in Birmingham, Alabama, the Company has grown to become one of the world's largest owners of hospital real estate with 388 facilities and approximately 39,000 licensed beds in nine countries and across three continents as of September 30, 2025. MPT's financing model facilitates acquisitions and recapitalizations and allows operators of hospitals to unlock the value of their real estate assets to fund facility improvements, technology upgrades and other investments in operations. Medical Properties Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 2003.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. reported revenue of $972M in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$277M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 25 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Healthcare Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Welltower Inc WELL | $238.07 | $41.85 | −82% |
| Ventas, Inc VTR | $89.01 | $17.91 | −80% |
| Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc OHI | $45.99 | $29.19 | −37% |
| Healthpeak Properties, Inc DOC | $21.40 | $6.95 | −68% |
| American Healthcare REIT, Inc AHR | $56.19 | $10.94 | −81% |
| CareTrust REIT, Inc CTRE | $39.61 | $22.79 | −42% |
| Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated HR | $19.39 | $20.60 | +6% |
| Aedifica NV AED | €66.55 | €34.97 | −47% |
| Chartwell Retirement Residences CSHUN | C$21.17 | C$3.49 | −84% |
| Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc SBRA | $20.39 | $10.49 | −49% |
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