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Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc (SBRA) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $4.6B · ISIN US78573L1061

What is Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc really worth?

SH Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc logo Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc SBRA · US
Price$20.93
Fair Value$10.49
Upside−49.9%
Quality62/100

A solid business, but trading 100% above our fair value of $10.49.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.3 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 19.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/15)

Risks

!Moderate moat 57/100
!Weak on past: 23 out of 100

For context

·5.73% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $8.85 – $13.11

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Share price +1.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$22.39 $7.93 Fair Value $10.49 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.93 – $22.39 · fair‑value band $8.85 – $13.11 · the $20.93 price screens above the $10.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc (SBRA) currently trades at $20.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.49, implying the stock looks roughly 99.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $24.97 per share, and 5 of the 16 models we run sit above the $20.93 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.50, and 11 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc generated revenue of $816M at a net margin of 19.2%. Revenue grew 21.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.85 (bear case) to $13.11 (bull case); at $20.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −50%, SBRA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $8.67 $8.91 $8.75 76
FCF DCF $9.25 $24.97 $55.84 73
Growth DCF $8.83 $23.23 $47.64 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.25 $24.97 $55.84 73
5Y Revenue Exit $3.42 $12.35 $24.61 67
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.47 $29.82 $53.79 71
10Y Revenue Exit $4.90 $14.21 $28.93 61
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.56 $27.10 $54.05 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $10.08 $20.09 $30.42 67
DDM Multi-Stage $10.08 $17.36 $21.21 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple $7.87 $10.49 $13.11 58
P/B Multiple $7.87 $10.49 $13.11 55
EV/EBIT $8.38 $14.14 $19.89 64
EV/EBITDA $13.91 $21.51 $29.11 66
EV/Revenue $0.6400 $4.72 $8.80 47
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.59 $7.50 $11.19 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.83 $23.23 $47.64 72
Rev-Margin DCF $3.42 $12.16 $24.08 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $8.67 $8.91 $8.75 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($24.97) versus Asset-Based ($7.50). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 33.2
P/S ratio 6.67 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.6300 price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.2
Dividend yield 5.7% payout 190%
Net margin 20.1% FY2025
Return on equity 5.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 31.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $816M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.7% 3y avg +7.4%
EPS growth (YoY) −5.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $349M FY2025
Net debt $2.5B FY2025 · ≈ 7.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 54
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. operates as a self-administered, self-managed real estate investment trust that, through its subsidiaries, owns and invests in real estate serving the healthcare industry throughout the United States and Canada. Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. is incorporated on May 10th, 2010 and is based in Tustin, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc reported revenue of $775M in FY2025 versus $570M in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was $156M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$775M
Latest YoY
+10.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+17.2% (11.5 + 5.7)
Revenue +8.0%/yr
FY21 $570M
FY22 $625M
FY23 $648M
FY24 $703M
FY25 $775M
Net income
FY21 −$113M
FY22 −$77.6M
FY23 $13.8M
FY24 $127M
FY25 $156M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −10.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share −3.0 %

of which total revenue +13.4 % · buybacks/dilution −14.5 %

EBIT margin −5.8 %
Tax rate +7.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −8.9 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SBRA screens 100% overvalued. Compare with Welltower Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SBRA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 25 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −50% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Below median
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.82× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Healthcare Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.65× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 13.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 5.28× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 6
FUTURE100 · sector 36
PAST23 · sector 23
HEALTH59 · sector 73
DIVIDEND100 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Welltower Inc WELL $238.07 $41.85 −82%
Ventas, Inc VTR $89.01 $17.91 −80%
Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc OHI $45.99 $29.19 −37%
Healthpeak Properties, Inc DOC $21.40 $6.95 −68%
American Healthcare REIT, Inc AHR $56.19 $10.94 −81%
CareTrust REIT, Inc CTRE $39.61 $22.79 −42%
Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated HR $19.39 $20.60 +6%
Aedifica NV AED €66.55 €34.97 −47%
Chartwell Retirement Residences CSHUN C$21.17 C$3.49 −84%
National Health Investors, Inc NHI $72.27 $64.82 −10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc (SBRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.49 versus a price of $20.93, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SBRA?
Our model-based fair value for Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc is $10.49 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $20.93.
What is the quality score of SBRA?
Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc (SBRA)?
Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $816M (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SBRA?
The net profit margin of Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc is about 19.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc pay a dividend?
Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.73% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 23, 2026).
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