American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $9.6B · ISIN US3981823038
What is American Healthcare REIT, Inc. really worth?
American Healthcare REIT, Inc.
AHR · US
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Below-average quality, and trading another 500% above our fair value of $9.30.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price +2.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($4.65 to $9.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
31‑month range $11.94 – $57.72 · fair‑value band $4.65 – $9.30 · the $55.76 price screens above the $9.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
Analysis
American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) currently trades at $55.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.30, implying the stock looks roughly 499.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $11.96 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the $55.76 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $6.27, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, American Healthcare REIT, Inc. generated revenue of $2.4B at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue grew 20.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.5%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.65 (bear case) to $9.30 (bull case); at $55.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −83%, AHR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($11.96) versus Multiples ($6.27). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
American Healthcare REIT, Inc., a Maryland-based self-managed REIT, owns and operates a diversified portfolio of clinical healthcare real estate across the U.S., U.K., and the Isle of Man. Its focus includes senior housing, skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), outpatient medical (OM) buildings, and other healthcare-related properties.
Full company description
American Healthcare REIT, Inc., a Maryland-based self-managed REIT, owns and operates a diversified portfolio of clinical healthcare real estate across the U.S., U.K., and the Isle of Man. Its focus includes senior housing, skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), outpatient medical (OM) buildings, and other healthcare-related properties. The company utilizes a fully integrated management platform and operates senior housing under the RIDEA structure. In addition to owning and operating properties, it has originated and acquired secured loans and may pursue other real estate-related investments opportunistically. The REIT seeks income-generating assets and selectively develops healthcare properties. It has elected to be taxed as a REIT under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code and intends to maintain compliance with REIT requirements. American Healthcare REIT, Inc. is based in Irvine, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
American Healthcare REIT, Inc. reported revenue of $2.3B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +15.6%/yr. Reported net income was $69.8M in FY2025.
AHR screens 500% overvalued. Compare with Welltower Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) Outperforming Other Finance Stocks This Year?
- American Healthcare REIT (AHR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Is AHR’s US$712 Million Equity Raise For Senior Housing Acquisitions Altering The Investment Case For American Healthcare REIT (AHR)?
- American Healthcare REIT Prices Approx.$712.2 Mln Offering Of $13.25 Mln Shares
Peer Group
REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 25 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Healthcare Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Welltower Inc WELL | $238.07 | $41.85 | −82% |
| Ventas, Inc VTR | $89.01 | $17.91 | −80% |
| Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc OHI | $45.99 | $29.19 | −37% |
| Healthpeak Properties, Inc DOC | $21.40 | $6.95 | −68% |
| CareTrust REIT, Inc CTRE | $39.61 | $22.79 | −42% |
| Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated HR | $19.39 | $20.60 | +6% |
| Aedifica NV AED | €66.55 | €34.97 | −47% |
| Chartwell Retirement Residences CSHUN | C$21.17 | C$3.49 | −84% |
| Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc SBRA | $20.39 | $10.49 | −49% |
| National Health Investors, Inc NHI | $72.27 | $64.82 | −10% |
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