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Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹739B (≈ $7.8B) · ISIN INE745G01035

What is Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited really worth?

MC Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited MCX · NSE
Price₹3,275
Fair Value₹820.48
Upside−75.0%
Quality80/100

A strong business, but trading 299% above our fair value of ₹820.48.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +47.5 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 54.8% net margin
generates free cash flow
Wide moat 91/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!The models disagree: range ₹510.09 to ₹3,282
!Weak on dividend: 5 out of 100

For context

·0.24% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ₹510.09 – ₹3,282

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +26.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 80/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The model range is unusually wide (₹510.09 to ₹3,282). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹3,441 ₹211.03 Fair Value ₹820.48 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹211.03 – ₹3,441 · fair‑value band ₹510.09 – ₹3,282 · the ₹3,275 price screens above the ₹820.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) currently trades at ₹3,275, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹820.48, implying the stock looks roughly 299.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹4,566 per share, and 1 of the 12 models we run sit above the ₹3,275 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹103.41, and 11 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited generated revenue of ₹24.3B at a net margin of 54.8%. Revenue grew 200.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹25.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹510.09 (bear case) to ₹3,282 (bull case); at ₹3,275, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 124% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −55% fair-value upside, at −75%, MCX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹19.94 per share, which is 2.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF best evidence ₹2,243 ₹4,566 ₹8,468 69
Owner Earnings ₹973.94 ₹2,148 ₹4,723 65
5Y P/E Exit ₹1,088 ₹1,926 ₹3,003 64
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹973.94 ₹2,148 ₹4,723 65
5Y P/E Exit ₹1,088 ₹1,926 ₹3,003 64
10Y P/E Exit ₹1,466 ₹2,557 ₹4,197 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹355.76 ₹2,481 ₹3,482 61
Lynch FV ₹1,282 ₹1,831 ₹2,380 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹57.82 ₹126.24 ₹212.40 63
DDM Multi-Stage ₹57.82 ₹103.41 ₹131.56 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹510.09 ₹680.13 ₹850.16 63
P/B Multiple ₹117.49 ₹156.66 ₹195.82 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹55.95 ₹74.97 ₹111.90 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF best evidence ₹2,243 ₹4,566 ₹8,468 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹569.78 ₹1,035 ₹28,170 61

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹4,566) versus Asset-Based (₹74.97). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (69).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 62.7
P/S ratio 34.4 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹52.27 price ÷ EPS = P/E 62.7
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 15.3%
Net margin 54.8% FY2026
Return on equity 37.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 73.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹24.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +200% 3y avg +75.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +291%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ₹32.4B FY2026
Net cash ₹25.3B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 80/100

Of which business quality 80 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 83
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited, a commodity derivatives exchange, provides a platform to facilitate online trading of commodity derivatives in India. It offers iCOMDEX, a real-time commodity futures price indices; and trades in bullion, base metals, energy, and agricultural commodities.

Full company description

Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited, a commodity derivatives exchange, provides a platform to facilitate online trading of commodity derivatives in India. It offers iCOMDEX, a real-time commodity futures price indices; and trades in bullion, base metals, energy, and agricultural commodities. The company also provides clearing and settlement services; and data feed subscription and membership services. It has strategic alliances, consultancy, and collaboration agreements with various exchanges, such as CME Group, Dalian Commodity Exchange, London Metal Exchange, European Energy Exchange AG, Taiwan Futures Exchange, and Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, Jakarta Futures Exchange, and Chittagong Stock Exchange Limited. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited reported revenue of ₹24.3B in FY2026 versus ₹3.3B in FY2022, a compound +64.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹13.3B in FY2026, compounding +74.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹24.3B
Latest YoY
+100.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+75.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+47.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+42.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+42.8% (42.6 + 0.2)
Revenue +64.8%/yr
FY22 ₹3.3B
FY23 ₹4.5B
FY24 ₹5.8B
FY25 ₹12.1B
FY26 ₹24.3B
Net income +74.5%/yr
FY22 ₹1.4B
FY23 ₹1.5B
FY24 ₹831M
FY25 ₹5.6B
FY26 ₹13.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +20.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +20.8 %

of which total revenue +20.9 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin +7.3 %
Tax rate +1.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −8.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

MCX screens 299% overvalued. Compare with S&P Global Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MCX

Peer Group

Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 53 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 80 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Return on assets 18% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 55% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 74% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 200% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 62.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 25.96× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 30.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 40.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 69
PAST100 · sector 77
HEALTH0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND5 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Financial Data & Stock Exchanges stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
S&P Global Inc SPGI $435.39 $196.36 −55%
CME Group CME $285.80 $145.51 −49%
Moody's Corporation MCO $514.95 $192.63 −63%
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE $162.33 $75.95 −53%
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited 80388 HK$360.20 HK$280.07 −22%
Deutsche Börse AG DB1 €291.20 €142.42 −51%
Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ $99.35 $41.12 −59%
MSCI Inc MSCI $570.76 $214.91 −62%
Coinbase Global, Inc COIN $190.72 $73.66 −61%
Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE $310.45 $136.64 −56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹820.48 versus a price of ₹3,275, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MCX?
Our model-based fair value for Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited is ₹820.48 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹3,275.
What is the quality score of MCX?
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited has a Quality Score of 80/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX)?
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹24.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MCX?
The net profit margin of Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited is about 54.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 54.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited pay a dividend?
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.24% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 28, 2026).
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