Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part (LISP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CH · Market cap CHF 22.2B · ISIN CH0010570767
What is Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part really worth?
A solid business, but trading 83% above our fair value of CHF 4,636.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −9.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 7,431). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (CHF 2,503 to CHF 7,431). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 8,164 – CHF 13,411 · fair‑value band CHF 2,503 – CHF 7,431 · the CHF 8,475 price screens above the CHF 4,636 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part (LISP) currently trades at CHF 8,475, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 4,636, implying the stock looks roughly 82.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of CHF 5,716 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the CHF 8,475 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 1,432, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part generated revenue of CHF 6.0B at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at CHF 1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 2,503 (bear case) to CHF 7,431 (bull case); at CHF 8,475, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −45%, LISP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly CHF 90.64 per share, which is 2.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (CHF 5,716) versus Asset-Based (CHF 1,432). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of chocolate products worldwide. The company sells its products under the Lindt, Ghirardelli, Russell Stover, Whitman's, Caffarel, Hofbauer and Küfferle, and Pangburn's, Gold Bunny, and Lindor brands.
Full company description
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of chocolate products worldwide. The company sells its products under the Lindt, Ghirardelli, Russell Stover, Whitman's, Caffarel, Hofbauer and Küfferle, and Pangburn's, Gold Bunny, and Lindor brands. It serves customers through a network of distributors, as well as through own stores. The company was founded in 1845 and is headquartered in Kilchberg, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Part reported revenue of CHF 5.9B in FY2025 versus CHF 4.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 727M in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.7 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
LISP screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Mondelez International, Inc →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 80 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $62.36 | $27.36 | −56% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $179.05 | $91.25 | −49% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,115 | CHF 711.91 | −36% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 124,600 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +63% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.00 | $22.21 | −43% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | −56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹652.15 | ₹318.59 | −51% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | −12% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 25,300 KRW | 42,237 KRW | +67% |
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