Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 11.3T IDR (≈ $1.1B)
What is Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk really worth?
A strong business, but trading 16% above our fair value of 1,140 IDR.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 1,286 IDR to 1,140 IDR (−11.3%) since Jul 18, 2026.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
- Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (17 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
17‑month range 1,195 IDR – 2,128 IDR · fair‑value band 826.16 IDR – 1,482 IDR · the 1,320 IDR price screens above the 1,140 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk (YUPI) currently trades at 1,320 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,140 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 15.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 2,352 IDR per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1,320 IDR price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 122.27 IDR, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk generated revenue of 3.0T IDR at a net margin of 20.8%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 93.3B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 826.16 IDR (bear case) to 1,482 IDR (bull case); at 1,320 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −14%, YUPI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 49.66 IDR per share, which is 4.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (2,352 IDR) versus Asset-Based (122.27 IDR). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk manufactures and distributes gummy candies in Indonesia. The company provides Gummy, Bolicious, Extruder, Marshmallow, and Lolipop candy products. It is also involved in trading and packaging activities. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Bogor, Indonesia.
Full company description
PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk manufactures and distributes gummy candies in Indonesia. The company provides Gummy, Bolicious, Extruder, Marshmallow, and Lolipop candy products. It is also involved in trading and packaging activities. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Bogor, Indonesia. PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Sweets Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yupi Indo Jelly Gum PT Tbk reported revenue of 2.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 613B IDR in FY2025, compounding +11.9%/yr from FY2021.
YUPI screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 80 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 90,700 | CHF 9,281 | −90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $62.36 | $27.36 | −56% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $179.05 | $91.25 | −49% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,115 | CHF 711.91 | −36% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 124,600 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +63% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.00 | $22.21 | −43% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | −56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹652.15 | ₹318.59 | −51% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 25,300 KRW | 42,237 KRW | +67% |
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