Guangxi Guitang Group Co Ltd (000833) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 18.8B CNY (≈ $2.8B) · ISIN CNE000000XC4
What is Guangxi Guitang Group Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 118% above our fair value of ¥9.09.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥9.83 to ¥9.09 (−7.5%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price +0.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥6.37 to ¥11.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.15 – ¥31.48 · fair‑value band ¥6.37 – ¥11.90 · the ¥19.84 price screens above the ¥9.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Guangxi Guitang Group Co Ltd (000833) currently trades at ¥19.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.09, implying the stock looks roughly 118.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥10.17 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥19.84 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.29, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangxi Guitang Group Co Ltd generated revenue of 3.4B CNY at a net margin of 17.3%. Revenue grew 43.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. Net debt stands at 1.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.37 (bear case) to ¥11.90 (bull case); at ¥19.84, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −54%, 000833 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.3654 per share, which is 4.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥10.17) versus Asset-Based (¥3.29). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
Notify me when 000833 reaches fair value
Put 000833 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings Co., Ltd. manufactures and sell sugar, paper, pulp, organic-inorganic compound, and organic fertilizers in China.
Full company description
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings Co., Ltd. manufactures and sell sugar, paper, pulp, organic-inorganic compound, and organic fertilizers in China. The company offers white and brown sugar, paper pulp, roll core paper, white cardboard base, paper, anti-stick base paper, cardboard, pyrite ore, sulfuric acid, reagent acid, iron ore powder, phosphate fertilizer, amino sulfonic acid, and silver powder. It also engages in the mining, processing, and sales of chemical minerals; logistics; and real estate development activities. Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Guangxi Guitang (Group) Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangxi Guitang Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound 0.0%/yr. Reported net income was 480M CNY in FY2025, compounding +16.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.2 % · buybacks/dilution −2.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
000833 screens 118% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 80 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 90,700 | CHF 9,281 | −90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $62.36 | $27.36 | −56% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $179.05 | $91.25 | −49% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,115 | CHF 711.91 | −36% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 124,600 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +63% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.00 | $22.21 | −43% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹652.15 | ₹318.59 | −51% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | −12% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 25,300 KRW | 42,237 KRW | +67% |
Compare Guangxi Guitang Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Guangxi Guitang Group Co Ltd (000833) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 000833?
What is the quality score of 000833?
What is the revenue of Guangxi Guitang Group Co Ltd (000833)?
What is the net profit margin of 000833?
Does Guangxi Guitang Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Watch Guangxi Guitang Group Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Guangxi Guitang Group Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.