Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (TROLB) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $3.0B · ISIN US8905161076
What is Tootsie Roll Industries Inc really worth?
Tootsie Roll Industries Inc
TROLB · US
A solid business, but trading 76% above our fair value of $22.21.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −1.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($27.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $22.79 – $48.10 · fair‑value band $15.57 – $27.52 · the $39.00 price screens above the $22.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (TROLB) currently trades at $39.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.21, implying the stock looks roughly 75.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $22.41 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $39.00 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.35, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tootsie Roll Industries Inc generated revenue of $736M at a net margin of 13.6%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $114M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $15.57 (bear case) to $27.52 (bull case); at $39.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −43%, TROLB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.6682 per share, which is 3.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($22.41) versus Dividend Discount ($4.35). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
Notify me when TROLB reaches fair value
Put TROLB on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells confectionery products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally.
Full company description
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells confectionery products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company sells its products under the Tootsie Roll, Tootsie Fruit Roll, Tootsie Pops, Tootsie Mini Pops, Child's Play, Caramel Apple Pops, Charms, Blow-Pop, Charms Mini Pops, Cella's, Dots, Junior Mints, Charleston Chew, Sugar Daddy, Sugar Babies, Andes, Fluffy Stuff, Dubble Bubble, Razzles, Cry Baby, Nik-L-Nip, And Tutsi Pop trademarks. It sells its products directly to wholesale distributors of candy, food and groceries, supermarkets, variety stores, dollar stores, chain grocers, drug chains, discount chains, cooperative grocery associations, mass merchandisers, warehouse and membership club stores, vending machine operators, e-commerce merchants, on-line marketplaces, the U.S. military and fund-raising charitable organizations, as well as through food and grocery brokers. Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. was founded in 1896 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tootsie Roll Industries Inc reported revenue of $733M in FY2025 versus $571M in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was $100M in FY2025, compounding +11.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.7 % · buybacks/dilution +0.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TROLB screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 80 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 90,700 | CHF 9,281 | −90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $62.36 | $27.36 | −56% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $179.05 | $91.25 | −49% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,115 | CHF 711.91 | −36% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 124,600 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +63% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | −56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹652.15 | ₹318.59 | −51% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | −12% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 25,300 KRW | 42,237 KRW | +67% |
Compare Tootsie Roll Industries Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (TROLB) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of TROLB?
What is the quality score of TROLB?
What is the revenue of Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (TROLB)?
What is the net profit margin of TROLB?
Does Tootsie Roll Industries Inc pay a dividend?
Watch Tootsie Roll Industries Inc in the live analysis
One click puts Tootsie Roll Industries Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.