Komatsu Ltd (KMTUY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $41.4B
Komatsu Ltd
KMTUY · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +17.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 11% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($29.67 to $74.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $29.67 (bear) to $74.28 (bull), base $51.65. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.19 – $49.37 · fair‑value band $29.67 – $74.28 · the $46.42 price screens below the $51.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Komatsu Ltd (KMTUY) currently trades at $46.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $51.65, implying the stock looks roughly 11.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Komatsu Ltd generated revenue of $4.1T at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. Net debt stands at ¥984B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $29.67 (bear case) to $74.28 (bull case); at $46.42, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 11%, KMTUY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($53.92) versus Asset-Based ($16.62). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Komatsu Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and sale of construction, mining, utility, forestry, and industrial machinery worldwide. It operates in three segments: Construction Machinery and Vehicles, Retail Finance, and Industrial Machinery and Others.
Full company description
Komatsu Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and sale of construction, mining, utility, forestry, and industrial machinery worldwide. It operates in three segments: Construction Machinery and Vehicles, Retail Finance, and Industrial Machinery and Others. The company offers construction and mining equipment, such as hydraulic and mini excavators, bulldozers, wheel loaders, dump trucks, rope and hybrid shovels, continuous miners, and jumbo drills; and demolition, waste, and recycling equipment, including mini shovels, mobile crushers, and hydraulic excavators with a cutter, pulverizer, and magnet. It also provides forklifts and motor graders; excavators with harvesting head, mini excavators with grapple, harvesters, forwarders, and feller bunchers; counterbalance type electric forklifts and internal combustion forklifts; and industrial machinery equipment comprising presses, transfer machines, battery manufacturing equipment, wire saws, thermo modules, thermoelectric generation module, EH sensor device, temperature control products, and press brakes and laser cutting sheet-metal machinery. In addition, the company offers industry equipment consisting of tunnel boring machines, pipe layers, towing tractors, and engines. Further, it is involved in rent construction machinery; lease a portion of the land and building; businesses related to transportation, warehousing, and packaging; sale financing for mining machinery; and development, sale, and servicing of forging and sheet metal. Komatsu Ltd. was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Komatsu Ltd reported revenue of ¥4.4T in FY2026 versus ¥2.8T in FY2022, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥399B in FY2026, compounding +15.4%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +9.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch KMTUY: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Komatsu (TSE:6301) Could Be 13% Above Fair Value Following Raised Guidance
- Komatsu Ltd. (KMTUY) Is Up 6.48% in One Week: What You Should Know
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 149 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $855.60 | $307.83 | -64% |
| Deere & Company DE | $619.77 | $182.29 | -71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 344.00 | kr 288.08 | -16% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $131.06 | $94.80 | -28% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 254.50 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.91 | ¥20.84 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.25 | ¥11.79 | +43% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.42 | HK$53.57 | +29% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥29.82 | ¥42.00 | +41% |
| Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY | ₹176.70 | ₹118.01 | -33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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