Komatsu Ltd (KMTUY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $41.4B · ISIN US5004584018
What is Komatsu Ltd really worth?
Komatsu Ltd
KMTUY · US
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $50.83.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 31, 2026, revised from $51.65 to $50.83 (−1.6%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +8.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($29.20 to $73.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.19 – $49.37 · fair‑value band $29.20 – $73.10 · the $48.36 price screens below the $50.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
Analysis
Komatsu Ltd (KMTUY) currently trades at $48.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $50.83, implying the stock looks roughly 4.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $53.06 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the $48.36 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $16.36, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Komatsu Ltd generated revenue of ¥4.1T at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. Net debt stands at ¥984B. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $29.20 (bear case) to $73.10 (bull case); at $48.36, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 5%, KMTUY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($53.06) versus Asset-Based ($16.36). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Komatsu Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and sale of construction, mining, utility, forestry, and industrial machinery worldwide. It operates in three segments: Construction Machinery and Vehicles, Retail Finance, and Industrial Machinery and Others.
Full company description
Komatsu Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and sale of construction, mining, utility, forestry, and industrial machinery worldwide. It operates in three segments: Construction Machinery and Vehicles, Retail Finance, and Industrial Machinery and Others. The company offers construction and mining equipment, such as hydraulic and mini excavators, bulldozers, wheel loaders, dump trucks, rope and hybrid shovels, continuous miners, and jumbo drills; and demolition, waste, and recycling equipment, including mini shovels, mobile crushers, and hydraulic excavators with a cutter, pulverizer, and magnet. It also provides forklifts and motor graders; excavators with harvesting head, mini excavators with grapple, harvesters, forwarders, and feller bunchers; counterbalance type electric forklifts and internal combustion forklifts; and industrial machinery equipment comprising presses, transfer machines, battery manufacturing equipment, wire saws, thermo modules, thermoelectric generation module, EH sensor device, temperature control products, and press brakes and laser cutting sheet-metal machinery. In addition, the company offers industry equipment consisting of tunnel boring machines, pipe layers, towing tractors, and engines. Further, it is involved in rent construction machinery; lease a portion of the land and building; businesses related to transportation, warehousing, and packaging; sale financing for mining machinery; and development, sale, and servicing of forging and sheet metal. Komatsu Ltd. was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Komatsu Ltd reported revenue of ¥4.4T in FY2026 versus ¥2.8T in FY2022, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥399B in FY2026, compounding +15.4%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +9.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Caterpillar, Komatsu, Terex and Astec Industries
- Komatsu (TSE:6301) Could Be 13% Above Fair Value Following Raised Guidance
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 150 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $800.25 | $307.83 | −62% |
| Deere & Company DE | $622.66 | $182.29 | −71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 351.40 | kr 288.08 | −18% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $122.45 | $94.80 | −23% |
| Daimler Truck Holding DTG | €45.73 | €47.70 | +4% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 272.80 | kr 144.14 | −47% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €72.10 | €123.44 | +71% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥19.06 | ¥20.84 | +9% |
| Traton SE 8TRA | €37.78 | €52.60 | +39% |
| Metso Oyj METSO | €16.75 | €10.73 | −36% |
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