Klabin Sa A (KLBAY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Klabin Sa A is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
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Basic Materials · US · Market cap $23.5B · ISIN US49834M1009
At a glance
KSKlabin Sa AKLBAY · US
Price$7.66
Fair Value$1.49
Upside−80.6% ⚠
Quality45/100
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Below-average quality, and trading another 414% above our fair value of $1.49.
As of Aug 21, 2026, the fair value of Klabin Sa A is $1.49 per share against a price of $7.66, so the fair value sits 81% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.3% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
·6.72% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 9 out of 100
!Weak on past: 22 out of 100
Evidence: LowRange $1.02 to $1.90
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +10.4% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
A fairly wide model range ($1.02 to $1.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.41 – $8.13 · fair‑value band $1.02 – $1.90 · the $7.66 price screens above the $1.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Klabin Sa A (KLBAY) currently trades at $7.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.49, implying the stock looks roughly 414.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $8.95 per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the $7.66 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.72, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Klabin Sa A generated revenue of $20.8B at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. Net debt stands at $28.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Scenario range: $1.02 (bear) to $1.90 (bull), the price of $7.66 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −81%, KLBAY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio255.3
P/S ratio17.3P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)$0.0300price ÷ EPS = P/E 255.3
Dividend yield6.7%
Net margin6.8%FY2025
Return on equity5.5%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)9.9%avg 5y
Operating margin6.5%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$20.8BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+1.8%3y avg +1.1%
EPS growth (YoY)−79.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow$3.6BFY2025
Net debt$28.4BFY2025 · ≈ 8.0 yrs of FCF
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality45/100
Of which business quality 46
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Profitability34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance67
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Klabin S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and exports packaging paper and sustainable paper packaging solutions in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Forestry, Pulp, Paper, and Packaging segments. It engages in the planting and growing of pine and eucalyptus trees, and in the forest management business.
Full company description
Klabin S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and exports packaging paper and sustainable paper packaging solutions in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Forestry, Pulp, Paper, and Packaging segments. It engages in the planting and growing of pine and eucalyptus trees, and in the forest management business. The company is also involved in the sale of commercial timber. In addition, it produces and sells hardwood (eucalyptus), softwood (pine), and fluff pulp, as well as paperboard, Kraftliner paper, recycled paper, corrugated cardboard boxes, corrugated cardboard, and industrial sacks. Klabin S.A. was founded in 1899, and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Klabin Sa A reported revenue of R$20.7B in FY2025 versus R$16.5B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was R$1.4B in FY2025, compounding −17.4%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$20.7B
Latest YoY
+5.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in BRL) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−0.6%
Dividend yield6.7%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −5.6% vs 10Y −1.9%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−5.6% (2020) → 20.6% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop440% (2020) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
Revenue+5.9%/yr
FY21R$16.5B
FY22R$20.0B
FY23R$18.0B
FY24R$19.6B
FY25R$20.7B
Net income−17.4%/yr
FY21R$3.0B
FY22R$4.5B
FY23R$2.7B
FY24R$1.8B
FY25R$1.4B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025)+1.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share+13.4 %
of which total revenue +14.0 % · buybacks/dilution −0.5 %
EBIT margin−1.5 %
Tax rate+0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)−8.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity4.43× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)255.3× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF5.7× · Pricier than median
PEG0.65× · Cheaper than median
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Klabin Sa A deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years-0.5 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+11.6 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+3.3 %
FCF yield on price15.17 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.1 %
The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 22
FUTURE9· sector 5
PAST22· sector 14
HEALTH0· sector 92
DIVIDEND100· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.49 versus a price of $7.66, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KLBAY?
Our model-based fair value for Klabin Sa A is $1.49 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.66.
What is the quality score of KLBAY?
Klabin Sa A has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Klabin Sa A (KLBAY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.49 (as of Aug 21, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.02, optimistic scenario $1.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Klabin Sa A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.49, about −81% upside versus a price of $7.66 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.02, optimistic scenario $1.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Klabin Sa A (KLBAY)?
Klabin Sa A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $20.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KLBAY?
The net profit margin of Klabin Sa A is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Klabin Sa A pay a dividend?
Klabin Sa A currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.72% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
What growth is priced into Klabin Sa A (KLBAY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Klabin Sa A would have to grow free cash flow by -0.5 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.1 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.6 % per year. As of Aug 21, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KLBAY use?
Our models discount Klabin Sa A at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.08, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Klabin Sa A (KLBAY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Klabin Sa A it is $1.49 per share (as of Aug 21, 2026), against a price of $7.66. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Klabin Sa A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 21, 2026, KLBAY trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.66, fair value $1.49, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KLBAY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.49). For Klabin Sa A the two are $6.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Klabin Sa A worth?
The market values Klabin Sa A at about $23.5B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 21, 2026). Per share that is $7.66; our models calculate a fair value of $1.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KLBAY?
Our models span a range for Klabin Sa A: cautious scenario $1.02, base $1.49, optimistic $1.90 per share (as of Aug 21, 2026, price $7.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KLBAY?
Klabin Sa A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 255.3 (as of Aug 21, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.49 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7.
What is the PEG ratio of KLBAY?
The PEG ratio of Klabin Sa A is 0.65 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 21, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Klabin Sa A (KLBAY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Klabin Sa A (as of Aug 21, 2026): return on equity 5.5%, debt of 4.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KLBAY from its 52-week high?
Klabin Sa A trades at $7.66, about 5% below its 52-week high of $8.10 and 26% above the low of $6.06 (as of Aug 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Klabin Sa A?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Suzano S.A, Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ), Shandong Sunpaper Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Klabin Sa A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 21, 2026: price $7.66, calculated fair value $1.49 (−81%), Quality Score 45/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KLBAY calculated?
We run Klabin Sa A through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Klabin Sa A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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Klabin Sa A
KLBAY · US