Empresas CMPC (CMPC) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CL · Market cap 2.6T CLP (≈ $2.9B) · ISIN CL0000001314

What is Empresas CMPC really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
• The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 919.79 CLP – 1,919 CLP · fair‑value band 941.87 CLP – 1,564 CLP · the 1,049 CLP price screens below the 1,253 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Empresas CMPC (CMPC) currently trades at 1,049 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,253 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 16.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 2,571 CLP per share, and 10 of the 19 models we run sit above the 1,049 CLP price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 953.55 CLP, and 9 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Empresas CMPC generated revenue of 7.5B CLP at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at 5.3B CLP. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 941.87 CLP (bear case) to 1,564 CLP (bull case); at 1,049 CLP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 19%, CMPC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 43.55 CLP per share, which is 3.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (2,571 CLP) versus Growth DCF (953.55 CLP). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Empresas CMPC S.A. engages in the production and sale of pulp and wood products in Chile and internationally. It operates through Pulp, Biopackaging, and Softys segments. The Pulp segment produces and markets pulp, forestry, and lumber products to the industrial pulp mills, remanufactured products, and plywood plants.

Full company description

Empresas CMPC S.A. engages in the production and sale of pulp and wood products in Chile and internationally. It operates through Pulp, Biopackaging, and Softys segments. The Pulp segment produces and markets pulp, forestry, and lumber products to the industrial pulp mills, remanufactured products, and plywood plants. This segment also offers sawn lumber, remanufactured products, and plywood sheets, as well as owns forest plantations, primarily pine and eucalyptus. The Biopackaging segment provides elaborated paper products, such as bags or industrial sacks, as well as molded pulp trays, and corrugation and corrugated cardboard boxes; manufactures and retails bags; and distributes papers. The Softys segment offers tissue products, such as toilet papers, paper towels, paper napkins, and facial tissues; sanitary products comprising baby diapers, wipes, adult diapers, and sanitary napkins; and specialized hygiene products for consumption in institutions and public places. This segment sells its products through supermarkets, pharmacies, and distributors under the Elite, Confort, Nova, Higienol, Sussex, Babysec, Cotidian, Ladysoft, Duetto, Cotton, Deluxe, Cremer, PomPom, and other brand names. The company was incorporated in 1920 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Empresas CMPC reported revenue of $7.5B in FY2025 versus $6.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $202M in FY2025, compounding −21.8%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Paper & Paper Products · 117 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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