Xianhe Co (603733) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 17.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 11, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 11, 2026, revised from ¥24.32 to ¥21.06 (−13.4%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +4.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥15.80 (bear) to ¥26.33 (bull), base ¥21.06. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.80 – ¥41.83 · fair‑value band ¥15.80 – ¥26.33 · the ¥21.81 price screens above the ¥21.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.
Analysis
Xianhe Co (603733) currently trades at ¥21.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.06, implying the stock looks roughly 3.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xianhe Co generated revenue of 12.5B CNY at a net margin of 8.2%. Revenue grew 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. Net debt stands at 11.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥15.80 (bear case) to ¥26.33 (bull case); at ¥21.81, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -3%, 603733 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥30.75) versus Economic Profit (¥4.65). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xianhe Co.,Ltd. develops and produces specialty pulps and paper products in China and internationally. It offers papers for tobacco industry, home decoration, business communication and anti- counterfeiting, food and medical packing, heat transfer base, label release, low quantitative publishing and printing, and electrical and industrial.
Full company description
Xianhe Co.,Ltd. develops and produces specialty pulps and paper products in China and internationally. It offers papers for tobacco industry, home decoration, business communication and anti- counterfeiting, food and medical packing, heat transfer base, label release, low quantitative publishing and printing, and electrical and industrial. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Quzhou, China. Xianhe Co.,Ltd. is a subsidiary of Zhejiang Xianhe Holdings Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xianhe Co reported revenue of ¥12.3B in FY2025 versus ¥6.0B in FY2021, a compound +19.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.0B in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +19.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.55 | R$3.80 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.18 | €14.21 | -39% |
| Suzano S.A SUZ | $8.02 | $23.77 | +196% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 109.40 | kr 49.40 | -55% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥13.94 | ¥17.29 | +24% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 323.20 | kr 217.72 | -33% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$8.21 | HK$8.74 | +6% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,000 CLP | 1,253 CLP | +25% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 77.60 | kr 48.60 | -37% |
| PT Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia Tbk TKIM | 7,575 IDR | 8,397 IDR | +11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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