Iveco Group NV (IVG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IT · Market cap €3.7B · ISIN NL0015000LU4

What is Iveco Group NV really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• A fairly wide model range (€7.13 to €16.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range €3.19 – €14.04 · fair‑value band €7.13 – €16.94 · the €14.04 price screens above the €8.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Iveco Group NV (IVG) currently trades at €14.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.45, implying the stock looks roughly 66.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €18.45 per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the €14.04 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €3.16, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Iveco Group NV generated revenue of €13.5B at a net margin of 10.6%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. Net debt stands at €3.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €7.13 (bear case) to €16.94 (bull case); at €14.04, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −40%, IVG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.2572 per share, which is 3.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: Multiples (€18.45) versus Dividend Discount (€3.16). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Iveco Group N.V. engages in the design, production, marketing, sale, servicing, and financing of trucks, commercial vehicles, buses, specialty vehicles, combustion engines, alternative propulsion systems, transmissions, axles, and engines in Europe, South America, North America, and internationally.

Full company description

Iveco Group N.V. engages in the design, production, marketing, sale, servicing, and financing of trucks, commercial vehicles, buses, specialty vehicles, combustion engines, alternative propulsion systems, transmissions, axles, and engines in Europe, South America, North America, and internationally. It operates in four segments: Truck, Bus, Powertrain, and Financial Services. The company offers light, medium, and heavy vehicles for the transportation and distribution of goods under the IVECO brand; and minibuses, city buses, intercity buses, and coaches for tour and intercity bus service operators, and transport authorities under the IVECO BUS and HEULIEZ brands. It also designs, manufactures, and distributes combustion engines, alternative propulsion systems, transmission systems, and axles for on- and off-road applications, agricultural and construction equipment, and marine and power generation applications under the FPT Industrial brand. In addition, the company offers financial products and services to dealers and customers; retail financing services to customers for the purchase or lease of new and used vehicles sold by brand dealers and distributors; wholesale financing consisting primarily of floor plan financing, which allows dealers to purchase and maintain a representative inventory of products; and discounts on non-dealer trade receivables. Further, it provides ePropulsion products, including eAxles, central drives, and electric drive units; energy storage systems, battery packs, and battery management systems; fuel-cell electric solutions and hybrid vehicle solutions, such as electric assist systems; and fuel cell electric vehicles. Iveco Group N.V. was founded in 1864 and is headquartered in Turin, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Iveco Group NV reported revenue of €13.4B in FY2025 versus €12.5B in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was €289M in FY2025, compounding +39.6%/yr from FY2021.

IVG screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

• Iveco Group announces transition to new Chief Financial Officer Yahoo Finance · Jul 30, 2026
• Iveco Group 2026 Second Quarter Results Yahoo Finance · Jul 30, 2026
• IVECO reinforces its premium partner ambition with the launch of its Model Year 26 range Yahoo Finance · Jul 3, 2026
• Tata Motors eyes top-four CV slot via Iveco deal Yahoo Finance · Jun 30, 2026

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 150 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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