Howden Joinery Group (HWDN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 4.4B GBX
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +3.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 12% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (£6.49 to £11.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from £6.49 (bear) to £11.99 (bull), base £9.24. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 74/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £4.28 – £9.50 · fair‑value band £6.49 – £11.99 · the £8.23 price screens below the £9.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Howden Joinery Group (HWDN) currently trades at £8.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £9.24, implying the stock looks roughly 12.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Howden Joinery Group generated revenue of £2.4B at a net margin of 11.1%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.1%. Net debt stands at £968M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £6.49 (bear case) to £11.99 (bull case); at £8.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 12%, HWDN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£10.45) versus Asset-Based (£1.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Howden Joinery Group Plc supplies various kitchen, joinery, and hardware products in the United Kingdom, France, Belgium, and the Republic of Ireland.
Full company description
Howden Joinery Group Plc supplies various kitchen, joinery, and hardware products in the United Kingdom, France, Belgium, and the Republic of Ireland. The company's product portfolio includes cabinet, worktops, sinks and taps, flooring, appliances, and handles; internal and external doors, such as fire doors, flooring, stair parts, and general joinery items; and cooking, cleaning, and cooling appliances. The company was formerly known as Galiform Plc and changed its name to Howden Joinery Group Plc in September 2010. Howden Joinery Group Plc was incorporated in 1987 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Howden Joinery Group reported revenue of £2.4B in FY2025 versus £2.1B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was £268M in FY2025, compounding −3.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥84.34 | ¥99.66 | +18% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥40.23 | ¥86.91 | +116% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥21.79 | ¥36.04 | +65% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 12,045 TWD | 1,917 TWD | -84% |
| Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 | ¥173.26 | ¥38.83 | -78% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥27.69 | ¥50.62 | +83% |
| Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 | ¥57.74 | ¥54.14 | -6% |
| Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 | ¥41.68 | ¥44.84 | +8% |
| COWAY Co 021240 | 97,200 KRW | 103,928 KRW | +7% |
| Voltas Limited VOLTAS | ₹1,290 | ₹152.27 | -88% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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