Howden Joinery Group Plc (HWDN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 4.4B GBX · ISIN GB0005576813
What is Howden Joinery Group Plc really worth?
A solid business, trading 16% below our fair value of £9.24.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −7.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (£6.49 to £11.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £4.28 – £9.50 · fair‑value band £6.49 – £11.99 · the £7.75 price screens below the £9.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Howden Joinery Group Plc (HWDN) currently trades at £7.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £9.24, implying the stock looks roughly 16.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £10.45 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the £7.75 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £1.45, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Howden Joinery Group Plc generated revenue of £2.4B at a net margin of 11.1%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.1%. Net debt stands at £968M. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £6.49 (bear case) to £11.99 (bull case); at £7.75, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 19%, HWDN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly £0.1835 per share, which is 2.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£10.45) versus Asset-Based (£1.45). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Howden Joinery Group Plc supplies various kitchen, joinery, and hardware products in the United Kingdom, France, Belgium, and the Republic of Ireland.
Full company description
Howden Joinery Group Plc supplies various kitchen, joinery, and hardware products in the United Kingdom, France, Belgium, and the Republic of Ireland. The company's product portfolio includes cabinet, worktops, sinks and taps, flooring, appliances, and handles; internal and external doors, such as fire doors, flooring, stair parts, and general joinery items; and cooking, cleaning, and cooling appliances. The company was formerly known as Galiform Plc and changed its name to Howden Joinery Group Plc in September 2010. Howden Joinery Group Plc was incorporated in 1987 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Howden Joinery Group Plc reported revenue of £2.4B in FY2025 versus £2.1B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was £268M in FY2025, compounding −3.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.7 % · buybacks/dilution +1.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥86.98 | ¥99.66 | +15% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥41.58 | ¥86.91 | +109% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥21.79 | ¥36.04 | +65% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 12,500 TWD | 1,917 TWD | −85% |
| Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 | ¥173.26 | ¥38.83 | −78% |
| SharkNinja, Inc SN | $181.24 | $89.07 | −51% |
| Somnigroup International Inc SGI | $63.65 | $31.69 | −50% |
| Mohawk Industries, Inc MHK | $131.70 | $119.26 | −9% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥26.12 | ¥50.62 | +94% |
| Alliance Laundry Holdings ALH | $25.91 | $7.74 | −70% |
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