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Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $5.1B · ISIN US01862Q1076

What is Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. really worth?

AL Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. logo Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. ALH · US
Price$22.68
Fair Value$7.74
Upside−65.9%
Quality51/100

A solid business, but trading 193% above our fair value of $7.74.

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Strengths

Wide moat 65/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +7.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.1% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/13)
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $3.64 to $13.45
Evidence: Medium Range $3.64 – $13.45

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $8.01 to $7.74 (−3.4%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −18.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($3.64 to $13.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (11 months)

$28.01 $19.06 Fair Value $7.74 Oct 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

11‑month range $19.06 – $28.01 · fair‑value band $3.64 – $13.45 · the $22.68 price screens above the $7.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) currently trades at $22.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.74, implying the stock looks roughly 193.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $8.92 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $22.68 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.32, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 185.1%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.64 (bear case) to $13.45 (bull case); at $22.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −66%, ALH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.4805 per share, which is 6.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence $4.66 $6.69 $8.45 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.05 $19.60 $35.11 68
FCF DCF $1.14 $7.52 $17.76 67
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.14 $7.52 $17.76 67
Owner Earnings $0.1800 $5.91 $15.09 62
5Y Revenue Exit $1.94 $9.39 $19.34 63
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.05 $19.60 $35.11 68
5Y P/E Exit $5.15 $11.04 65
10Y Revenue Exit $1.21 $8.01 $18.07 56
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.83 $15.20 $30.59 60
10Y P/E Exit $0.2000 $5.03 $11.48 53
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.48 $14.42 $19.65 61
Lynch FV $3.64 $5.20 $6.75 58
PEG = 1.0 $3.64 $5.20 $6.75 55
EPV best evidence $4.66 $6.69 $8.45 73
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.07 $10.76 $13.45 63
P/S Multiple $6.53 $8.71 $10.89 58
P/B Multiple $6.53 $8.71 $10.89 55
EV/EBIT $12.17 $18.96 $25.75 65
EV/EBITDA $11.98 $18.70 $25.43 66
EV/Revenue $2.64 $7.29 $11.94 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9900 $1.32 $1.97 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.12 $7.07 $16.35 66
Rev-Margin DCF $1.94 $9.22 $18.30 63
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.30 $4.48 $24.75 61
ROIC Compounder $5.61 $9.96 $15.74 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.24 $8.92 $11.59 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($8.92) versus Asset-Based ($1.32). Highest evidence: EPV (73).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 36.4 as of Jul 17, 2026
P/S ratio 2.16 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.7100 price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.4
Net margin 6.0% FY2025
Return on equity 185% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9% avg 3y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 19.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.6% 3y avg +7.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +180%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $158M FY2025
Net debt $1.8B FY2025 · ≈ 11.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 10
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells commercial laundry systems in the United States, the Czech Republic, Thailand, and internationally.

Full company description

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells commercial laundry systems in the United States, the Czech Republic, Thailand, and internationally. The company offers washer extractors, top-load washers, and front-load washers; tumblers and small-chassis dryers; combination washer and dryer products; service parts and consumables; and equipment financing, laundromat site selection assistance, investment seminar training programs, computer-aided commercial laundry room design, sales and service training for distributors, technical assistance, and on-call installation and repair services. It also provides Speed Queen Insights, Huebsch Command, Primus i-Trace, and IPSO Connect, which offer performance reporting, issue and error alerts, machine control and programming, a mobile payment platform with an integrated loyalty program, and an integrated CRM and marketing system to vended laundry customers; UniMac Core, a cloud-based monitoring and reporting management tool that allows laundry managers to manage laundry operations from anywhere at any time; UniMac FireLinc system, a tool for digital record keeping simple and fire equipment bar code scanning; and a financing website that allows customers to manage bills, statements, and account balances. The company sells its products under the Speed Queen, Huebsch, UniMac, Primus, and IPSO brands. It distributes its products through a network of distributors and direct sales channels. The company serves healthcare facilities, fire stations, hotels, laundromats, communal laundry facilities, and other commercial applications, as well as household and individual users. The company was formerly known as ALH Holding Inc. and changed its name to Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. in August 2025. Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Ripon, Wisconsin.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2022, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was $102M in FY2025, compounding +0.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.7B
Latest YoY
+13.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Value creation/yr (3Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−8.1% (−8.1 + 0.0)
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.7B
Net income +0.7%/yr
FY22 $99.7M
FY23 $88.2M
FY24 $98.3M
FY25 $102M

ALH screens 193% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALH

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 185% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 10% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 4.54× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 13.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 32.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 21
FUTURE48 · sector 0
PAST100 · sector 19
HEALTH0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥86.98 ¥99.66 +15%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥41.58 ¥86.91 +109%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.79 ¥36.04 +65%
King Slide Works Co 2059 12,500 TWD 1,917 TWD −85%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥173.26 ¥38.83 −78%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $181.24 $89.07 −51%
Somnigroup International Inc SGI $63.65 $31.69 −50%
Mohawk Industries, Inc MHK $131.70 $119.26 −9%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.12 ¥50.62 +94%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥50.93 ¥54.14 +6%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.74 versus a price of $22.68, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALH?
Our model-based fair value for Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. is $7.74 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $22.68.
What is the quality score of ALH?
Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALH?
The net profit margin of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. is about 8.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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