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Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.7B · ISIN US6081901042

What is Mohawk Industries Inc really worth?

MI Mohawk Industries Inc logo Mohawk Industries Inc MHK · US
Price$131.70
Fair Value$119.26
Upside−9.5%
Quality61/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $119.26.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Weak on valuation: 21 out of 100
!Weak on past: 20 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $81.63 – $156.89

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −3.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($81.63 to $156.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$209.80 $76.56 Fair Value $119.26 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $76.56 – $209.80 · fair‑value band $81.63 – $156.89 · the $131.70 price screens above the $119.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK) currently trades at $131.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $119.26, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $130.05 per share, and 8 of the 24 models we run sit above the $131.70 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $31.80, and 16 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mohawk Industries Inc generated revenue of $11.0B at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $81.63 (bear case) to $156.89 (bull case); at $131.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −9%, MHK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $4.52 per share, which is 3.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $91.22 $140.76 $210.83 80
Growth DCF $93.32 $137.91 $197.67 78
Owner Earnings $114.03 $174.25 $259.43 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $91.22 $140.76 $210.83 80
Owner Earnings $114.03 $174.25 $259.43 76
5Y Revenue Exit $69.85 $111.18 $162.31 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $133.62 $227.49 $334.87 74
5Y P/E Exit $80.19 $130.05 $180.66 70
10Y Revenue Exit $74.84 $113.32 $161.86 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $116.35 $191.20 $287.63 67
10Y P/E Exit $83.38 $125.96 $175.24 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $41.27 $112.62 $147.69 65
Lynch FV $22.26 $31.80 $41.34 61
PEG = 1.0 $22.26 $31.80 $41.34 57
EPV $46.76 $56.44 $64.79 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $100.13 $133.51 $166.89 63
P/S Multiple $77.37 $103.17 $128.96 58
P/B Multiple $77.37 $103.17 $128.96 55
EV/EBIT $98.37 $136.00 $173.63 66
EV/EBITDA $181.70 $247.10 $312.51 67
EV/Revenue $61.57 $94.19 $126.80 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $68.73 $92.10 $137.46 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $93.32 $137.91 $197.67 78
Rev-Margin DCF $69.85 $112.30 $159.76 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $101.30 $99.43 $88.81 76
ROIC Compounder $46.76 $56.44 $64.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $78.95 $112.79 $146.63 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($130.05) versus Earnings-Based ($31.80). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 19.6
P/S ratio 0.67 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $6.71 price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.6
Net margin 3.4% FY2025
Return on equity 5.1% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 5.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $11.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.0% 3y avg −2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +65.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $616M FY2025
Net debt $1.9B FY2025 · ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and commercial remodeling, and new construction channels in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World.

Full company description

Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and commercial remodeling, and new construction channels in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World. The company provides ceramic, porcelain, and natural stone tiles products for floor and wall applications; natural stones, porcelain slabs, and quartz countertops, as well as installation materials; floor covering products comprising broadloom carpets, carpet tiles, rugs and mats, carpet pads, laminates, medium-density fiberboards, wood floorings, vinyl tiles, hybrid flooring, and sheet vinyl; and roofing panels, insulation boards, mezzanine flooring products, medium-density fiberboard, decorative panels, and chipboards. It also licenses its intellectual property to flooring manufacturers. The company sells its products under the American Olean, Daltile, Decortiles, Durkan, Eliane, Elizabeth, Feltex, Godfrey Hirst, IVC Home, Karastan, Kerama Marazzi, Marazzi, Moduleo, Mohawk, Pergo, Quick-Step, Unilin, Vitromex, GH Commercial, Hycraft, Lentex Flooring, Leoline, Redbook, EmilGroup, KAI, Ragno, Aladdin Commercial, Durkan, Foss, IVC Resilient Design, Mohawk Group, Mohawk Home, and Portico. It offers its products to home centers, company-owned service centers and stores, floor covering retailers, ceramic tile specialists, e-commerce retailers, residential builders, independent distributors, commercial contractors, and commercial end users. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Calhoun, Georgia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Mohawk Industries Inc reported revenue of $10.8B in FY2025 versus $11.2B in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was $370M in FY2025, compounding −22.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$10.8B
Latest YoY
−0.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (34Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−6.5% (−6.5 + 0.0)
Revenue −0.9%/yr
FY21 $11.2B
FY22 $11.7B
FY23 $11.1B
FY24 $10.8B
FY25 $10.8B
Net income −22.6%/yr
FY21 $1.0B
FY22 $25.2M
FY23 −$440M
FY24 $518M
FY25 $370M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −2.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.6 %

of which total revenue +2.9 % · buybacks/dilution +1.7 %

EBIT margin −7.5 %
Tax rate +0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mohawk Industries Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MHK

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −9% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.21× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.80× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 10.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.64× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE21 · sector 21
FUTURE40 · sector 0
PAST20 · sector 19
HEALTH90 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 58

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥86.98 ¥99.66 +15%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥41.58 ¥86.91 +109%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.79 ¥36.04 +65%
King Slide Works Co 2059 12,500 TWD 1,917 TWD −85%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥173.26 ¥38.83 −78%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $181.24 $89.07 −51%
Somnigroup International Inc SGI $63.65 $31.69 −50%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.12 ¥50.62 +94%
Alliance Laundry Holdings ALH $25.91 $7.74 −70%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥50.93 ¥54.14 +6%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $119.26 versus a price of $131.70, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MHK?
Our model-based fair value for Mohawk Industries Inc is $119.26 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $131.70.
What is the quality score of MHK?
Mohawk Industries Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
Mohawk Industries Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MHK?
The net profit margin of Mohawk Industries Inc is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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