Mohawk Industries, Inc (MHK) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.7B
Mohawk Industries, Inc
MHK · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +26.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 14% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($81.63 to $156.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $76.56 – $219.10 · fair‑value band $81.63 – $156.89 · the $139.12 price screens above the $119.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Mohawk Industries, Inc (MHK) currently trades at $139.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $119.26, implying the stock looks roughly 14.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mohawk Industries, Inc generated revenue of $11.0B at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $81.63 (bear case) to $156.89 (bull case); at $139.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at -14%, MHK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($130.05) versus Earnings-Based ($31.80). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and commercial remodeling, and new construction channels in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World.
Full company description
Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and commercial remodeling, and new construction channels in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World. The company provides ceramic, porcelain, and natural stone tiles products for floor and wall applications; natural stones, porcelain slabs, and quartz countertops, as well as installation materials; floor covering products comprising broadloom carpets, carpet tiles, rugs and mats, carpet pads, laminates, medium-density fiberboards, wood floorings, vinyl tiles, hybrid flooring, and sheet vinyl; and roofing panels, insulation boards, mezzanine flooring products, medium-density fiberboard, decorative panels, and chipboards. It also licenses its intellectual property to flooring manufacturers. The company sells its products under the American Olean, Daltile, Decortiles, Durkan, Eliane, Elizabeth, Feltex, Godfrey Hirst, IVC Home, Karastan, Kerama Marazzi, Marazzi, Moduleo, Mohawk, Pergo, Quick-Step, Unilin, Vitromex, GH Commercial, Hycraft, Lentex Flooring, Leoline, Redbook, EmilGroup, KAI, Ragno, Aladdin Commercial, Durkan, Foss, IVC Resilient Design, Mohawk Group, Mohawk Home, and Portico. It offers its products to home centers, company-owned service centers and stores, floor covering retailers, ceramic tile specialists, e-commerce retailers, residential builders, independent distributors, commercial contractors, and commercial end users. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Calhoun, Georgia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mohawk Industries, Inc reported revenue of $10.8B in FY2025 versus $11.2B in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was $370M in FY2025, compounding −22.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
MHK screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- MHK Q2 Deep Dive: Operational Gains, Leadership Transition, and Margin Expansion
- Mohawk's Q2 Earnings Beat Raises a Key Question on Margin Durability
- Why MHK Rises 14.5% in the Past Month and Whether the Gains Can Last
- Is Mohawk Worth Buying as Earnings Improve but Housing Stays Weak?
Peer Group
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥84.34 | ¥99.66 | +18% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥40.23 | ¥86.91 | +116% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥21.79 | ¥36.04 | +65% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 12,045 TWD | 1,917 TWD | -84% |
| Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 | ¥173.26 | ¥38.83 | -78% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥27.69 | ¥50.62 | +83% |
| Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 | ¥57.74 | ¥54.14 | -6% |
| Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 | ¥41.68 | ¥44.84 | +8% |
| COWAY Co 021240 | 97,200 KRW | 103,928 KRW | +7% |
| Voltas Limited VOLTAS | ₹1,290 | ₹152.27 | -88% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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