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Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $2.7B · ISIN US4026355028

What is Gulfport Energy Operating Corp really worth?

GE Gulfport Energy Operating Corp logo Gulfport Energy Operating Corp GPOR · US
Price$181.86
Fair Value$165.14
Upside−9.2%
Quality72/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $165.14.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 42.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 89/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +10.6 %/yr)
!The models disagree: range $111.23 to $528.40
!Weak on valuation: 21 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 1 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $111.23 – $528.40

Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from $272.81 to $165.14 (−39.5%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price +16.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($111.23 to $528.40). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$222.49 $60.80 Fair Value $165.14 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $60.80 – $222.49 · fair‑value band $111.23 – $528.40 · the $181.86 price screens above the $165.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR) currently trades at $181.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $165.14, implying the stock looks roughly 10.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $655.73 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the $181.86 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $68.41, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Gulfport Energy Operating Corp generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of 42.1%. Revenue grew 32.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.0%. Net debt stands at $787M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $111.23 (bear case) to $528.40 (bull case); at $181.86, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −9%, GPOR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $20.59 per share, which is 12.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $200.20 $331.85 $742.32 74
EPV $151.45 $182.28 $208.87 74
Growth DCF $185.34 $368.10 $725.77 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $200.20 $331.85 $742.32 74
Owner Earnings $125.14 $330.56 $745.95 69
5Y Revenue Exit $74.42 $137.29 $265.82 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $173.86 $339.45 $661.92 71
5Y P/E Exit $209.30 $519.33 $940.04 67
10Y Revenue Exit $110.92 $237.54 $305.68 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $184.32 $444.60 $909.47 63
10Y P/E Exit $209.52 $518.38 $1,045 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $161.89 $1,129 $1,584 63
Lynch FV $409.96 $585.66 $761.36 61
PEG = 1.0 $409.96 $585.66 $761.36 57
EPV $151.45 $182.28 $208.87 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.8100 $1.62 $2.46 66
DDM Multi-Stage $0.8100 $1.40 $1.71 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $249.98 $333.30 $416.63 63
P/S Multiple $66.29 $88.38 $110.48 58
P/B Multiple $137.84 $183.78 $229.73 55
EV/EBIT $165.50 $235.25 $305.00 65
EV/EBITDA $157.96 $225.20 $292.44 67
EV/Revenue $18.11 $44.62 $71.14 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $51.05 $68.41 $102.10 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $185.34 $368.10 $725.77 74
Rev-Margin DCF $74.42 $163.73 $323.49 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income $162.19 $239.33 $1,735 64
ROIC Compounder $193.79 $296.53 $372.23 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $459.01 $655.73 $852.45 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($655.73) versus Dividend Discount ($1.40). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 6.0
P/S ratio 1.93 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $30.42 price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.0
Dividend yield 0.1% payout 0.3%
Net margin 32.3% FY2025
Return on equity 34.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 18.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 50.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.3% 3y avg −17.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −89.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $276M FY2025
Net debt $787M FY2025 · ≈ 2.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Gulfport Energy Corporation engages in the acquisition, exploration, and production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids in the United States. Its principal properties include Utica and Marcellus in eastern Ohio; and the SCOOP Woodford and Springer formations in central Oklahoma.

Full company description

Gulfport Energy Corporation engages in the acquisition, exploration, and production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids in the United States. Its principal properties include Utica and Marcellus in eastern Ohio; and the SCOOP Woodford and Springer formations in central Oklahoma. Gulfport Energy Corporation was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gulfport Energy Operating Corp reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was $428M in FY2025, compounding +32.7%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.3B
Latest YoY
+42.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (29Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+33.7% (33.6 + 0.1)
Revenue −3.1%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $2.3B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $929M
FY25 $1.3B
Net income +32.7%/yr
FY21 $138M
FY22 $495M
FY23 $1.5B
FY24 −$261M
FY25 $428M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gulfport Energy Operating Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GPOR

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 296 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Return on assets 17% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 51% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 32% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.49× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.94× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 9.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE21 · sector 9
FUTURE100 · sector 7
PAST100 · sector 9
HEALTH79 · sector 87
DIVIDEND1 · sector 70

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).

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Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $59.17 $30.06 −49%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $200.52 $105.24 −48%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $47.35 $27.06 −43%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$32.55 A$20.71 −36%
EQT Corporation EQT $54.57 $42.85 −21%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $165.14 versus a price of $181.86, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GPOR?
Our model-based fair value for Gulfport Energy Operating Corp is $165.14 (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $181.86.
What is the quality score of GPOR?
Gulfport Energy Operating Corp has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp (GPOR)?
Gulfport Energy Operating Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GPOR?
The net profit margin of Gulfport Energy Operating Corp is about 42.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 42.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Gulfport Energy Operating Corp pay a dividend?
Gulfport Energy Operating Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.05% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 14, 2026).
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