Godfrey Phillips India Limited (GODFRYPHLP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹339B (≈ $3.6B) · ISIN INE260B01028
What is Godfrey Phillips India Limited really worth?
A solid business, but trading 72% above our fair value of ₹1,194.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −11.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,981). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹665.28 to ₹1,981). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹267.73 – ₹3,672 · fair‑value band ₹665.28 – ₹1,981 · the ₹2,051 price screens above the ₹1,194 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Godfrey Phillips India Limited (GODFRYPHLP) currently trades at ₹2,051, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,194, implying the stock looks roughly 71.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹1,882 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹2,051 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹266.85, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Godfrey Phillips India Limited generated revenue of ₹63.9B at a net margin of 23.9%. Revenue grew 13.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.6%. Net debt stands at ₹2.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹665.28 (bear case) to ₹1,981 (bull case); at ₹2,051, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −42%, GODFRYPHLP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹26.33 per share, which is 2.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,882) versus Asset-Based (₹266.85). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
Notify me when GODFRYPHLP reaches fair value
Put GODFRYPHLP on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Godfrey Phillips India Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and trades cigarettes, tobacco products, and related products in India and internationally. It operates through Cigarette, Tobacco and Related Products; and Others segments.
Full company description
Godfrey Phillips India Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and trades cigarettes, tobacco products, and related products in India and internationally. It operates through Cigarette, Tobacco and Related Products; and Others segments. The company offers cigarette products under the Marlboro, Four Square, Red & White, Stellar, Cavanders, Originals, North Pole & Tipper, Focus, Jaisalmer, Ultima, Black Jack, Force 10, and Bulls & Bears, Sahara; leaf and cut tobacco products under the Philip Morris, ITG, JTI, Eastern Company, European Tobacco, Libyan Tobacco Company, and RNTA brands. It also provides confectionary products, such as candies and chewing gums under the Funda and Naturalz Imli brands. In addition, the company engages in the acquisition of securities and real estate development. It exports its products. Godfrey Phillips India Limited was incorporated in 1936 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Godfrey Phillips India Limited reported revenue of ₹63.9B in FY2026 versus ₹26.9B in FY2022, a compound +24.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹15.3B in FY2026, compounding +36.6%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +9.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
GODFRYPHLP screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Philip Morris International Inc →
Peer Group
Tobacco · 36 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tobacco median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Tobacco stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Morris International Inc PM | $190.48 | $103.71 | −46% |
| British American Tobacco p.l.c. BTI | $56.13 | $61.07 | +9% |
| Altria Group MO | $68.65 | $81.81 | +19% |
| ITC Limited 500875 | ₹279.50 | ₹212.74 | −24% |
| KT&G Corporation 033780 | 175,500 KRW | 110,656 KRW | −37% |
| PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, HMSP | 745.00 IDR | 1,041 IDR | +40% |
| Smoore International Holdings 6969 | HK$9.24 | HK$4.19 | −55% |
| PT Gudang Garam Tbk, GGRM | 20,675 IDR | 16,988 IDR | −18% |
| TABAK TABAK | 19,100 CZK | 23,215 CZK | +22% |
| China Tobacco International (HK) Company 6055 | HK$23.86 | HK$24.09 | +1% |
Compare Godfrey Phillips India Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Godfrey Phillips India Limited (GODFRYPHLP) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of GODFRYPHLP?
What is the quality score of GODFRYPHLP?
What is the revenue of Godfrey Phillips India Limited (GODFRYPHLP)?
What is the net profit margin of GODFRYPHLP?
Does Godfrey Phillips India Limited pay a dividend?
Watch Godfrey Phillips India Limited in the live analysis
One click puts Godfrey Phillips India Limited on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.