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Smoore International Holdings Ltd (6969) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$46.3B (≈ $5.9B) · ISIN KYG8245V1023

What is Smoore International Holdings Ltd really worth?

SI Smoore International Holdings Ltd 6969 · HK
PriceHK$9.83
Fair ValueHK$4.19
Upside−57.4%
Quality61/100

A solid business, but trading 135% above our fair value of HK$4.19.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 25.1% net margin
Wide moat 73/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.3 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range HK$3.15 – HK$5.24

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +12.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$5.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$56.37 HK$4.52 Fair Value HK$4.19 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$4.52 – HK$56.37 · fair‑value band HK$3.15 – HK$5.24 · the HK$9.83 price screens above the HK$4.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Smoore International Holdings Ltd (6969) currently trades at HK$9.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.19, implying the stock looks roughly 134.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$5.78 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the HK$9.83 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$2.36, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Revenue grew 16.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 144.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$5.2B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 37.4 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$3.15 (bear case) to HK$5.24 (bull case); at HK$9.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −57%, 6969 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0883 per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence HK$2.72 HK$2.78 HK$2.68 76
EPV HK$2.35 HK$2.55 HK$2.72 74
Owner Earnings HK$2.45 HK$4.07 HK$7.45 73
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$2.45 HK$4.07 HK$7.45 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.17 HK$8.14 HK$11.43 63
Lynch FV HK$3.20 HK$4.57 HK$5.94 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$3.20 HK$4.57 HK$5.94 57
EPV HK$2.35 HK$2.55 HK$2.72 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$2.07 HK$4.29 HK$6.81 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$2.07 HK$3.62 HK$4.51 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.70 HK$3.61 HK$4.51 63
P/S Multiple HK$2.19 HK$2.92 HK$3.65 58
P/B Multiple HK$2.19 HK$2.92 HK$3.65 55
EV/EBIT HK$3.60 HK$4.40 HK$5.21 66
EV/EBITDA HK$3.48 HK$4.25 HK$5.01 67
EV/Revenue HK$2.91 HK$3.65 HK$4.38 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.76 HK$2.36 HK$3.53 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence HK$2.72 HK$2.78 HK$2.68 76
ROIC Compounder HK$2.35 HK$2.55 HK$2.72 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$4.04 HK$5.78 HK$7.51 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$5.78) versus Asset-Based (HK$2.36). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 37.4 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 2.79 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1300 price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.4
Dividend yield 3.0%
Net margin 7.5% FY2025
Return on equity 144% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2% avg 5y
Operating margin −0.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.4% 3y avg +5.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$363M FY2025
Net cash HK$5.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Smoore International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of vaping technology solutions. The company is involved in the research, design, and manufacture of vaping, heat-not-burn, atomization, and inhalation therapy products for tobacco companies, independent vaping brands, and other corporate clients.

Full company description

Smoore International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of vaping technology solutions. The company is involved in the research, design, and manufacture of vaping, heat-not-burn, atomization, and inhalation therapy products for tobacco companies, independent vaping brands, and other corporate clients. It also engages in the research, design, manufacturing, and sales of self-branded electronic vaping products and beauty atomization products. In addition, the company offers vaping solutions under the FEELM brand; vaping products under the VAPORESSO brand; and HTP atomization solutions under the METEX brand. Further, it is involved in the operation of supply chain services; research and development; and trustee activities. The company operates in Hong Kong, China, the United Kingdom, the United States, Mainland China, France, Japan, Croatia, the United Arab Emirates, and internationally. Smoore International Holdings Limited was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Smoore International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 14.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 13.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding −33.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$14.3B
Latest YoY
+20.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+41.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−20.6% (−23.6 + 3.0)
Revenue +0.9%/yr
FY21 13.8B CNY
FY22 12.1B CNY
FY23 11.2B CNY
FY24 11.8B CNY
FY25 14.3B CNY
Net income −33.0%/yr
FY21 5.3B CNY
FY22 2.5B CNY
FY23 1.6B CNY
FY24 1.3B CNY
FY25 1.1B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +53.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +59.0 %

of which total revenue +42.2 % · buybacks/dilution +11.8 %

EBIT margin −5.7 %
Tax rate +0.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

6969 screens 135% overvalued. Compare with Philip Morris International Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Smoore International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6969

Peer Group

Tobacco · 36 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Below median
Fair Value upside −57% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 144% · Top 25%
Return on assets 51% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Tobacco median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.12× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 10.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 30.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 38
FUTURE82 · sector 25
PAST100 · sector 51
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND60 · sector 78

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Tobacco

Similar stocks

10 more Tobacco stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Philip Morris International Inc PM $190.48 $103.71 −46%
British American Tobacco p.l.c. BTI $56.13 $61.07 +9%
Altria Group MO $68.65 $81.81 +19%
ITC Limited 500875 ₹279.50 ₹212.74 −24%
KT&G Corporation 033780 175,500 KRW 110,656 KRW −37%
PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, HMSP 745.00 IDR 1,041 IDR +40%
Godfrey Phillips India Limited GODFRYPHLP ₹2,160 ₹1,194 −45%
PT Gudang Garam Tbk, GGRM 20,675 IDR 16,988 IDR −18%
TABAK TABAK 19,100 CZK 23,215 CZK +22%
China Tobacco International (HK) Company 6055 HK$23.86 HK$24.09 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Smoore International Holdings Ltd (6969) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$4.19 versus a price of HK$9.83, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6969?
Our model-based fair value for Smoore International Holdings Ltd is HK$4.19 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$9.83.
What is the quality score of 6969?
Smoore International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 6969?
The net profit margin of Smoore International Holdings Ltd is about 25.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Smoore International Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Smoore International Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.01% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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