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EZCORP Inc (EZPW) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $2.0B · ISIN US3023011063

What is EZCORP Inc really worth?

EI EZCORP Inc logo EZCORP Inc EZPW · US
Price$33.30
Fair Value$24.33
Upside−26.9%
Quality60/100

A solid business, but trading 37% above our fair value of $24.33.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.1 %/yr)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 9.9% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Moderate moat 55/100
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $16.81 – $30.41

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +7.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($30.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($16.81 to $30.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$35.59 $5.56 Fair Value $24.33 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.56 – $35.59 · fair‑value band $16.81 – $30.41 · the $33.30 price screens above the $24.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

EZCORP Inc (EZPW) currently trades at $33.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.33, implying the stock looks roughly 36.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $26.50 per share, and 2 of the 13 models we run sit above the $33.30 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.73, and 11 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, EZCORP Inc generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue grew 45.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at $295M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.81 (bear case) to $30.41 (bull case); at $33.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 159% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −27%, EZPW screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.68 per share, which is 6.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF best evidence $17.60 $26.50 $38.45 78
Owner Earnings $16.48 $25.45 $38.01 76
Residual Income $14.63 $16.07 $22.63 76
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $16.48 $25.45 $38.01 76
5Y P/E Exit $16.31 $26.59 $37.61 70
10Y P/E Exit $16.61 $25.27 $36.24 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.73 $46.34 $62.52 64
Lynch FV $11.02 $15.74 $20.46 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.4800 $0.8600 $1.19 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.4800 $0.7900 $0.9200 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $18.25 $24.33 $30.41 63
P/B Multiple $18.39 $24.51 $30.64 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.75 $11.73 $17.51 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF best evidence $17.60 $26.50 $38.45 78
Rev-Margin DCF $19.90 $33.39 $49.56 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $14.63 $16.07 $22.63 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($26.50) versus Dividend Discount ($0.7900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 17.4 as of Jun 5, 2026
P/S ratio 1.49 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.85 price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.4
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 3.3%
Net margin 8.6% FY2025
Return on equity 14.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 15.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +45.9% 3y avg +12.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +82.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $110M FY2025
Net debt $295M FY2025 · ≈ 2.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

EZCORP, Inc. provides pawn services in the United States, Mexico, and Latin America. It operates through U.S. Pawn, Latin America Pawn, and Other Investments segments. The company retails merchandise, primarily collateral forfeited from pawn lending operations and pre-owned merchandise purchased from customers.

Full company description

EZCORP, Inc. provides pawn services in the United States, Mexico, and Latin America. It operates through U.S. Pawn, Latin America Pawn, and Other Investments segments. The company retails merchandise, primarily collateral forfeited from pawn lending operations and pre-owned merchandise purchased from customers. It also provides pawn loans collateralized by tangible personal property, jewelry, consumer electronics, tools, sporting goods, and musical instruments. In addition, the company offers EZ+, a web-based application that allow customers to manage their pawn transactions, layaways, and loyalty rewards online. Further, the company operates under the EZPAWN, Value Pawn & Jewelry, Empeño Fácil, Cash Apoyo Efectivo, GuatePrenda, and MaxiEfectivo brands. EZCORP, Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EZCORP Inc reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $730M in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was $110M in FY2025, compounding +88.9%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.3B
Latest YoY
+9.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (34Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+23.3% (23.1 + 0.2)
Revenue +15.0%/yr
FY21 $730M
FY22 $886M
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $1.2B
FY25 $1.3B
Net income +88.9%/yr
FY21 $8.6M
FY22 $50.2M
FY23 $38.5M
FY24 $83.1M
FY25 $110M

EZPW screens 37% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EZCORP Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EZPW

Peer Group

Credit Services · 324 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Below median
Revenue growth 46% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.51× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.91× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.33× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 17.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 36
FUTURE100 · sector 40
PAST59 · sector 32
HEALTH75 · sector 59
DIVIDEND4 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $379.66 $198.27 −48%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $591.73 $221.87 −63%
American Express Company AXP $334.16 $206.40 −38%
Capital One Financial Corporation COF $215.67 $117.51 −46%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,093 ₹397.70 −64%
PayPal Holdings PYPL $61.47 $77.12 +25%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,134 ₹553.82 −51%
Synchrony Financial, SYF $78.05 $137.28 +76%
SoFi Technologies, Inc SOFI $18.06 $5.02 −72%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,866 ₹796.47 −57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EZCORP Inc (EZPW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.33 versus a price of $33.30, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EZPW?
Our model-based fair value for EZCORP Inc is $24.33 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $33.30.
What is the quality score of EZPW?
EZCORP Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of EZCORP Inc (EZPW)?
EZCORP Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EZPW?
The net profit margin of EZCORP Inc is about 9.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does EZCORP Inc pay a dividend?
EZCORP Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.18% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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