Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · ID · Market cap 43.8T IDR (≈ $4.4B) · ISIN ID1000098304
What is Energi Mega Persada Tbk really worth?
A solid business, but trading 84% above our fair value of 727.61 IDR.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 31, 2026, revised from 730.57 IDR to 727.61 IDR (−0.4%) since Aug 28, 2026. Share price −0.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (901.30 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 98.00 IDR – 2,200 IDR · fair‑value band 511.95 IDR – 901.30 IDR · the 1,340 IDR price screens above the 727.61 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
Analysis
Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) currently trades at 1,340 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 727.61 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 84.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 909.51 IDR per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1,340 IDR price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 363.81 IDR, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Energi Mega Persada Tbk generated revenue of 498M IDR at a net margin of 18.4%. Revenue declined 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. Net debt stands at 430M IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 511.95 IDR (bear case) to 901.30 IDR (bull case); at 1,340 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −46%, ENRG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 36.91 IDR per share, which is 5.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (34,743 IDR) versus Asset-Based (363.81 IDR). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Energi Mega Persada Tbk, through its subsidiaries, operates as an upstream oil and natural gas company in Indonesia, Mozambique, and Japan. It engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Energi Mega Persada Tbk reported revenue of $492M in FY2025 versus $406M in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was $90.4M in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.
ENRG screens 84% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 296 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥32.85 | ¥32.55 | −1% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $130.35 | $90.15 | −31% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | C$69.03 | C$44.78 | −35% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $143.35 | $132.20 | −8% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $59.17 | $30.06 | −49% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $200.52 | $105.24 | −48% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $47.35 | $27.06 | −43% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$32.55 | A$20.71 | −36% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $54.57 | $42.85 | −21% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $366.50 | $77.26 | −79% |
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