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Enav SpA (ENAV) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IT · Market cap €2.8B · ISIN IT0005176406

What is Enav SpA really worth?

ES Enav SpA ENAV · MI
Price€4.98
Fair Value€3.62
Upside−27.3%
Quality63/100

A solid business, but trading 38% above our fair value of €3.62.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 10.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.9 %/yr)
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Moderate moat 49/100

For context

·11.65% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range €2.71 – €4.52

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −6.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€4.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€5.33 €2.35 Fair Value €3.62 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.35 – €5.33 · fair‑value band €2.71 – €4.52 · the €4.98 price screens above the €3.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Enav SpA (ENAV) currently trades at €4.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.62, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €4.73 per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the €4.98 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.45, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Enav SpA generated revenue of €998M at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 8.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at €120M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €2.71 (bear case) to €4.52 (bull case); at €4.98, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −27%, ENAV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €4.58 €6.00 €8.37 81
Growth DCF €4.71 €6.08 €8.19 80
Owner Earnings €2.38 €3.04 €4.14 77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €4.58 €6.00 €8.37 81
Owner Earnings €2.38 €3.04 €4.14 77
5Y Revenue Exit €3.37 €4.41 €5.82 74
5Y EBITDA Exit €4.92 €7.08 €9.75 75
5Y P/E Exit €3.51 €4.64 €5.91 72
10Y Revenue Exit €3.75 €4.73 €5.82 68
10Y EBITDA Exit €4.75 €6.46 €8.42 69
10Y P/E Exit €3.90 €4.88 €5.88 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.17 €2.15 €2.66 66
EPV €2.56 €2.89 €3.18 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.38 €3.12 €3.85 69
DDM Multi-Stage €2.38 €3.21 €4.18 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €2.71 €3.62 €4.52 63
P/S Multiple €2.20 €2.93 €3.66 58
P/B Multiple €2.20 €2.93 €3.66 55
EV/EBIT €4.55 €5.91 €7.27 66
EV/EBITDA €5.86 €7.65 €9.45 67
EV/Revenue €2.77 €3.75 €4.74 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.08 €1.45 €2.16 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €4.71 €6.08 €8.19 80
Rev-Margin DCF €3.37 €4.49 €5.83 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.79 €1.92 €2.10 76
ROIC Compounder €2.59 €2.99 €3.40 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €1.93 €2.75 €3.58 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€4.73) versus Asset-Based (€1.45). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 24.9
P/S ratio 2.36 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €0.2000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.9
Dividend yield 11.7%
Net margin 9.5% FY2025
Return on equity 10.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 10.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €1.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.2% 3y avg +2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €228M FY2025
Net debt €120M FY2025 · ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

ENAV S.p.A. provides air traffic control and management, and other air navigation services in Italy, the rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Air Navigation Services, Maintenance Services, and Aeronautical Information Management (AIM) Software Solutions.

Full company description

ENAV S.p.A. provides air traffic control and management, and other air navigation services in Italy, the rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Air Navigation Services, Maintenance Services, and Aeronautical Information Management (AIM) Software Solutions. The company offers technical management and maintenance services for air traffic control equipment and systems, as well as for air infrastructure. It also develops software solutions for the management of aeronautical information and air traffic; and provides associated commercial and maintenance services. In addition, the company offers air traffic flow management, air traffic management and weather, communication navigation and surveillance, digital aeronautical information management, flight procedure design and validation, and unmanned aircraft system traffic management. Further, it provides consultancy for change management, aeronautical information, engineering and maintenance, education and training, meteorology, in flight control and validation, safety assessment and risk management; and evaluation of obstacle and electromagnetic interference services. It serves airport management and airlines companies, air navigation service providers, industries, civil aviation, and research and development industries. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Rome, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Enav SpA reported revenue of €983M in FY2025 versus €800M in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was €93.1M in FY2025, compounding +4.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€983M
Latest YoY
−1.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+15.2% (3.5 + 11.7)
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY21 €800M
FY22 €907M
FY23 €1.0B
FY24 €1,000M
FY25 €983M
Net income +4.4%/yr
FY21 €78.4M
FY22 €105M
FY23 €113M
FY24 €126M
FY25 €93.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2023) +16.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.6 %

of which total revenue +1.4 % · buybacks/dilution +6.1 %

EBIT margin +4.8 %
Tax rate +2.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

ENAV screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Aena S.M.E., S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Enav SpA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ENAV

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.75× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.16× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 39
FUTURE36 · sector 32
PAST40 · sector 45
HEALTH92 · sector 88
DIVIDEND100 · sector 59

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA €26.42 €26.90 +2%
Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD 2.58 SGD 1.25 SGD −52%
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC $214.87 $253.64 +18%
GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA ₹102.70 ₹22.29 −78%
Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 ¥23.41 ¥17.09 −27%
Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN CHF 208.80 CHF 121.30 −42%
Auckland International Airport Limited AIA A$7.09 A$2.76 −61%
Fraport AG FRA €62.40 €49.83 −20%
Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL kr 5,440 kr 1,821 −67%
SATS Ltd S58 4.07 SGD 4.03 SGD −1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Enav SpA (ENAV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.62 versus a price of €4.98, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ENAV?
Our model-based fair value for Enav SpA is €3.62 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €4.98.
What is the quality score of ENAV?
Enav SpA has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Enav SpA (ENAV)?
Enav SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €998M (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ENAV?
The net profit margin of Enav SpA is about 10.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Enav SpA pay a dividend?
Enav SpA currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.65% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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