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Fraport AG (FRA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · DE · Market cap €6.4B · ISIN DE0005773303

What is Fraport AG really worth?

FA Fraport AG FRA · XETRA
Price€62.45
Fair Value€49.83
Upside−20.2%
Quality43/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 25% above our fair value of €49.83.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +21.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.5% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/15)
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Weak on valuation: 6 out of 100
!Weak on future: 9 out of 100

For context

·1.60% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range €43.43 – €56.55

Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −7.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€56.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€84.37 €34.93 Fair Value €49.83 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €34.93 – €84.37 · fair‑value band €43.43 – €56.55 · the €62.45 price screens above the €49.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Fraport AG (FRA) currently trades at €62.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €49.83, implying the stock looks roughly 25.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €89.45 per share, and 7 of the 14 models we run sit above the €62.45 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €35.02, and 7 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Fraport AG generated revenue of €4.5B at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at €9.5B. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €43.43 (bear case) to €56.55 (bull case); at €62.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −20%, FRA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €2.48 per share, which is 5.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €22.87 77
Residual Income €46.37 €49.72 €56.04 76
Growth DCF €11.44 75
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €22.87 77
5Y Revenue Exit €39.75 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €4.54 €83.00 €176.52 67
5Y P/E Exit €2.99 €46.14 68
10Y Revenue Exit €29.52 64
10Y EBITDA Exit €46.73 €133.20 65
10Y P/E Exit €34.36 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €31.75 €107.30 €143.83 64
Lynch FV €24.52 €35.02 €45.53 61
PEG = 1.0 €24.52 €35.02 €45.53 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple €73.55 €98.06 €122.58 63
P/S Multiple €59.54 €79.38 €99.23 58
P/B Multiple €59.54 €79.38 €99.23 55
EV/EBIT €18.16 €56.75 €95.35 60
EV/EBITDA €49.07 €97.97 €146.86 64
EV/Revenue €14.54 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €28.02 €37.54 €56.03 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €11.44 75
Rev-Margin DCF €34.80 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income €46.37 €49.72 €56.04 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €62.61 €89.45 €116.28 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€89.45) versus Earnings-Based (€35.02). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 13.4
P/S ratio 1.31 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €4.66 price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.4
Dividend yield 1.6% payout 21.5%
Net margin 9.7% FY2025
Return on equity 8.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 5.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €4.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.8% 3y avg +11.5%
EPS growth (YoY) −52.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €419M FY2025
Net debt €9.5B FY2025 · ≈ 22.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Fraport AG owns and operates airports in Germany, the rest of Europe, Asia, and the America. It primarily focuses on the operation of Frankfurt Main airport. The company operates through four segments: Aviation, Retail & Real Estate, Ground Handling, and International Activities & Services.

Full company description

Fraport AG owns and operates airports in Germany, the rest of Europe, Asia, and the America. It primarily focuses on the operation of Frankfurt Main airport. The company operates through four segments: Aviation, Retail & Real Estate, Ground Handling, and International Activities & Services. The Aviation segment operates land and airside infrastructure, which covers the area of airport charges and related security services. The Retail & Real Estate segment engages in retail activities; and real estate activities, including development and rental of commercial real estate properties and land. This segment also manages buildings and facilities; develops and manages parking and retail areas; and rents advertising space. The Ground Handling segment provides ground services, such as loading, baggage, passenger, airmail and baggage transport, and freight handling services, as well as operates the central infrastructure and baggage transfer system at Frankfurt Airport. The International Activities & Services segment acquires, operates, develops, and expands airports and infrastructure facilities. This segment also offers consulting services; and integrated facility management, corporate infrastructure management, airport expansion south, and information and telecommunication services. Fraport AG was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Frankfurt am Main, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fraport AG reported revenue of €4.4B in FY2025 versus €2.1B in FY2021, a compound +19.9%/yr. Reported net income was €432M in FY2025, compounding +51.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€4.4B
Latest YoY
+0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+13.1% (11.5 + 1.6)
Revenue +19.9%/yr
FY21 €2.1B
FY22 €3.2B
FY23 €4.0B
FY24 €4.4B
FY25 €4.4B
Net income +51.1%/yr
FY21 €82.8M
FY22 €132M
FY23 €393M
FY24 €451M
FY25 €432M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.0 %

of which total revenue +6.0 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −2.4 %
Tax rate +0.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

FRA screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Aena S.M.E., S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fraport AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FRA

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −20% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 2.27× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.44× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.65× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 17.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.44× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE6 · sector 39
FUTURE9 · sector 32
PAST35 · sector 45
HEALTH0 · sector 88
DIVIDEND32 · sector 59

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA €26.42 €26.90 +2%
Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD 2.58 SGD 1.25 SGD −52%
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC $214.87 $253.64 +18%
GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA ₹102.70 ₹22.29 −78%
Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 ¥23.41 ¥17.09 −27%
Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN CHF 208.80 CHF 121.30 −42%
Auckland International Airport Limited AIA A$7.09 A$2.76 −61%
Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL kr 5,440 kr 1,821 −67%
SATS Ltd S58 4.07 SGD 4.03 SGD −1%
Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft, FLU €53.00 €46.33 −13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fraport AG (FRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €49.83 versus a price of €62.45, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FRA?
Our model-based fair value for Fraport AG is €49.83 (as of Sep 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €62.45.
What is the quality score of FRA?
Fraport AG has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fraport AG (FRA)?
Fraport AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FRA?
The net profit margin of Fraport AG is about 9.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Fraport AG pay a dividend?
Fraport AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 2, 2026).
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