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Copenhagen Airports AS (KBHL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · DK · Market cap 44.4B DKK (≈ $6.9B) · ISIN DK0010201102

What is Copenhagen Airports AS really worth?

CA Copenhagen Airports AS KBHL · CO
Pricekr 5,540
Fair Valuekr 1,821
Upside−67.1%
Quality51/100

A solid business, but trading 204% above our fair value of kr 1,821.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 22.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 73/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +28.5 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!The models disagree: range kr 1,172 to kr 3,759
!Weak on dividend: 9 out of 100
Evidence: High Range kr 1,172 – kr 3,759

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +0.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 3,759). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (kr 1,172 to kr 3,759). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 7,570 kr 3,636 Fair Value kr 1,821 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 3,636 – kr 7,570 · fair‑value band kr 1,172 – kr 3,759 · the kr 5,540 price screens above the kr 1,821 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Copenhagen Airports AS (KBHL) currently trades at kr 5,540, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1,821, implying the stock looks roughly 204.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of kr 2,892 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the kr 5,540 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at kr 363.75, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Copenhagen Airports AS generated revenue of 5.6B DKK at a net margin of 22.8%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.7%. Net debt stands at 9.0B DKK. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 1,172 (bear case) to kr 3,759 (bull case); at kr 5,540, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −67%, KBHL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 110.68 per share, which is 6.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence kr 399.60 kr 1,030 77
EPV kr 1,021 kr 1,315 kr 1,572 74
Owner Earnings kr 333.23 73
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence kr 399.60 kr 1,030 77
Owner Earnings kr 333.23 73
5Y Revenue Exit kr 62.75 kr 576.54 kr 1,235 65
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 1,487 kr 3,247 kr 5,327 72
5Y P/E Exit kr 927.81 kr 2,199 kr 3,544 68
10Y Revenue Exit kr 1.71 kr 465.10 kr 1,092 58
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 937.52 kr 2,322 kr 4,223 64
10Y P/E Exit kr 580.81 kr 1,593 kr 2,859 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 1,053 kr 3,315 kr 4,414 64
Lynch FV kr 726.08 kr 1,037 kr 1,348 61
PEG = 1.0 kr 726.08 kr 1,037 kr 1,348 57
EPV kr 1,021 kr 1,315 kr 1,572 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 233.99 kr 486.51 kr 771.80 66
DDM Multi-Stage kr 233.99 kr 388.96 kr 510.61 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 2,438 kr 3,251 kr 4,064 63
P/S Multiple kr 1,055 kr 1,407 kr 1,759 58
P/B Multiple kr 1,974 kr 2,632 kr 3,290 55
EV/EBIT kr 2,239 kr 3,234 kr 4,228 65
EV/EBITDA kr 2,657 kr 3,790 kr 4,924 67
EV/Revenue kr 143.02 kr 522.91 kr 902.79 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 316.00 kr 423.44 kr 632.00 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 0.1700 kr 363.75 kr 886.07 67
Rev-Margin DCF kr 62.75 kr 573.89 kr 1,162 65
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 1,053 kr 1,480 kr 9,340 64
ROIC Compounder kr 1,110 kr 1,621 kr 2,253 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 2,024 kr 2,892 kr 3,759 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 2,892) versus Growth DCF (kr 363.75). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 33.9
P/S ratio 7.45 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 163.57 price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.9
Dividend yield 0.4% payout 14.9%
Net margin 22.0% FY2025
Return on equity 25.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 19.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 5.6B DKK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.6% 3y avg +16.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +91.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 504M DKK FY2025
Net debt 9.0B DKK FY2025 · ≈ 17.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Københavns Lufthavne A/S owns, develops, and operates Copenhagen Airport and Roskilde Airport in Denmark. The company offers infrastructure and air traffic-related services, including route development, baggage systems, and security; and operation and development of technology, terminals, IT, shuttle buses, aircraft stands, and runways.

Full company description

Københavns Lufthavne A/S owns, develops, and operates Copenhagen Airport and Roskilde Airport in Denmark. The company offers infrastructure and air traffic-related services, including route development, baggage systems, and security; and operation and development of technology, terminals, IT, shuttle buses, aircraft stands, and runways. It also engages in the non-aeronautical business, such as parking, food outlets, and shops in the terminals; hotel operation and leasing of premises, including buildings, premises, and land; provision of services for persons with reduced mobility, and taxi management services, as well as consulting services concerning airport operation and other services. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Kastrup, Denmark.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Copenhagen Airports AS reported revenue of 5.5B DKK in FY2025 versus 1.8B DKK in FY2021, a compound +33.1%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B DKK in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.5B DKK
Latest YoY
+8.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+4.0% (3.6 + 0.4)
Revenue +33.1%/yr
FY21 1.8B DKK
FY22 3.5B DKK
FY23 4.1B DKK
FY24 5.1B DKK
FY25 5.5B DKK
Net income
FY21 −517M DKK
FY22 191M DKK
FY23 264M DKK
FY24 1.0B DKK
FY25 1.2B DKK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −3.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.9 %

of which total revenue +1.9 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −3.6 %
Tax rate −0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

KBHL screens 204% overvalued. Compare with Aena S.M.E., S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Copenhagen Airports AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KBHL

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.19× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 8.96× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.33× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 39
FUTURE58 · sector 32
PAST100 · sector 45
HEALTH41 · sector 88
DIVIDEND9 · sector 59

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA €26.42 €26.90 +2%
Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD 2.58 SGD 1.25 SGD −52%
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC $214.87 $253.64 +18%
GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA ₹102.70 ₹22.29 −78%
Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 ¥23.41 ¥17.09 −27%
Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN CHF 208.80 CHF 121.30 −42%
Auckland International Airport Limited AIA A$7.09 A$2.76 −61%
Fraport AG FRA €62.40 €49.83 −20%
SATS Ltd S58 4.07 SGD 4.03 SGD −1%
Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft, FLU €53.00 €46.33 −13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Copenhagen Airports AS (KBHL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1,821 versus a price of kr 5,540, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KBHL?
Our model-based fair value for Copenhagen Airports AS is kr 1,821 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 5,540.
What is the quality score of KBHL?
Copenhagen Airports AS has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Copenhagen Airports AS (KBHL)?
Copenhagen Airports AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.6B DKK (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KBHL?
The net profit margin of Copenhagen Airports AS is about 22.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Copenhagen Airports AS pay a dividend?
Copenhagen Airports AS currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.44% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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