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Airports of Thailand Public Company (TATD) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SG · Market cap 35.7B SGD

AO Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD · SG
Price2.48 SGD
Fair Value1.25 SGD
Upside-49.6%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 27.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Wide moat 79/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.7200 SGD – 1.62 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +1.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.62 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.7200 SGD to 1.62 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

2.73 SGD 1.08 SGD Fair Value 1.25 SGD May 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range 1.08 SGD – 2.73 SGD · fair‑value band 0.7200 SGD – 1.62 SGD · the 2.48 SGD price screens above the 1.25 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Airports of Thailand Public Company (TATD) currently trades at 2.48 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.25 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 49.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Airports of Thailand Public Company generated revenue of 66.4B SGD at a net margin of 27.3%. Revenue grew 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. Net debt stands at 2.1B SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.7200 SGD (bear case) to 1.62 SGD (bull case); at 2.48 SGD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 112% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -50%, TATD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 23.29 SGD 42.17 SGD 80.35 SGD 80
Residual Income 8.90 SGD 11.31 SGD 28.85 SGD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 12.56 SGD 20.99 SGD 36.81 SGD 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 24.67 SGD 38.06 SGD 80.70 SGD 38
Owner Earnings 24.01 SGD 52.95 SGD 113.70 SGD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 12.48 SGD 18.48 SGD 30.87 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 27.01 SGD 47.86 SGD 88.79 SGD 41
5Y P/E Exit 22.81 SGD 48.85 SGD 84.25 SGD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 15.95 SGD 28.44 SGD 34.83 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 26.82 SGD 59.73 SGD 117.63 SGD 37
10Y P/E Exit 23.75 SGD 50.70 SGD 94.79 SGD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.63 SGD 60.17 SGD 84.44 SGD 54
Lynch FV 22.78 SGD 32.54 SGD 42.31 SGD 50
PEG = 1.0 22.78 SGD 32.54 SGD 42.31 SGD 46
EPV 14.69 SGD 16.92 SGD 18.87 SGD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 19.98 SGD 26.64 SGD 33.31 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 7.00 SGD 9.34 SGD 11.67 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 16.18 SGD 21.57 SGD 26.96 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 23.98 SGD 31.53 SGD 39.07 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 26.87 SGD 35.38 SGD 43.89 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 7.21 SGD 9.73 SGD 12.25 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.58 SGD 6.14 SGD 9.16 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 23.29 SGD 42.17 SGD 80.35 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 12.56 SGD 20.99 SGD 36.81 SGD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 8.90 SGD 11.31 SGD 28.85 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 18.85 SGD 28.35 SGD 34.40 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 29.06 SGD 41.51 SGD 53.96 SGD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (47.86 SGD) versus Asset-Based (6.14 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 66.4B SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.0%
Net margin 27.3%
Return on equity 14.4%
Free cash flow 19.8B SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 49.6
More key figures
Operating margin 41.2%
EPS (TTM) 0.0500 SGD
EPS growth (YoY) +13.1%
Net debt 2.1B SGD FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Airports of Thailand Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the airport business in Thailand. The company engages in airport management, hotel business, ground service business, security business, and management of perishable goods projects.

Full company description

Airports of Thailand Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the airport business in Thailand. The company engages in airport management, hotel business, ground service business, security business, and management of perishable goods projects. It operates six international airports, including Suvarnabhumi Airport, Don Mueang International Airport, Chiang Mai International Airport, Hat Yai International Airport, Phuket International Airport and Mae Fah Luang - Chiang Rai International Airport. The company is involved in the hotel and restaurant business; and operation and management of the project on perishable goods at Suvarnabhumi Airport. In addition, it offers ground equipment, security services, and manages projects, as well as ground, warehouse, and cleaning services. Airports of Thailand Public Company Limited was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Airports of Thailand Public Company reported revenue of 66.7B SGD in FY2025 versus 16.6B SGD in FY2022, a compound +59.1%/yr. Reported net income was 18.1B SGD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 94/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
66.7B SGD
Latest YoY
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+59.1%
Revenue +59.1%/yr
FY22 16.6B SGD
FY23 48.1B SGD
FY24 67.1B SGD
FY25 66.7B SGD
Net income
FY22 −11.1B SGD
FY23 8.8B SGD
FY24 19.2B SGD
FY25 18.1B SGD

TATD screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Aena S.M.E., S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Airports of Thailand Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TATD

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Above median
Fair Value upside −50% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 49.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.46× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 15 · sector 31
PAST 57 · sector 45
HEALTH 100 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA €26.84 €26.90 +0%
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC $214.96 $250.60 +17%
GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA ₹102.70 ₹22.29 -78%
Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN CHF 231.40 CHF 121.30 -48%
Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 ¥23.41 ¥17.09 -27%
Auckland International Airport Limited AIA A$7.20 A$2.77 -62%
Fraport AG FRA €66.85 €49.83 -25%
Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL kr 5,500 kr 1,821 -67%
SATS Ltd S58 4.71 SGD 4.03 SGD -14%
Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft, FLU €51.60 €46.33 -10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Airports of Thailand Public Company (TATD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.25 SGD versus a price of 2.48 SGD, about −50% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TATD?
Our model-based fair value for Airports of Thailand Public Company is 1.25 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.48 SGD.
What is the quality score of TATD?
Airports of Thailand Public Company has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Airports of Thailand Public Company (TATD)?
Airports of Thailand Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 66.4B SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TATD?
The net profit margin of Airports of Thailand Public Company is about 27.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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