Aena SA (AENA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ES · Market cap €39.4B · ISIN ES0105046017
What is Aena SA really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of €26.90.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −4.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (€15.45 to €36.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €9.02 – €27.83 · fair‑value band €15.45 – €36.38 · the €25.82 price screens below the €26.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Aena SA (AENA) currently trades at €25.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €26.90, implying the stock looks roughly 4.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €28.75 per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the €25.82 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €4.11, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Aena SA generated revenue of €6.5B at a net margin of 33.5%. Revenue grew 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.4%. Net debt stands at €5.2B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €15.45 (bear case) to €36.38 (bull case); at €25.82, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 4%, AENA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.2368 per share, which is 0.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€28.75) versus Asset-Based (€4.11). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Aena S.M.E., S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the management of airports in Spain, Brazil, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and Colombia. The company operates through Airports, Real Estate Services, Región de Murcia International Airport, and International segments.
Full company description
Aena S.M.E., S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the management of airports in Spain, Brazil, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and Colombia. The company operates through Airports, Real Estate Services, Región de Murcia International Airport, and International segments. It also manages commercial spaces in airport terminals, and a network of car parks; and leasing or transfer use of land, office buildings, warehouses, hangars, and cargo vessels to airlines, air cargo operators, handling agents and other airport service providers. In addition, the company is involved in the operation of duty-free shops, food and beverage, and specialty shops; rental of cars; advertising; baggage wrapping machines; other vending machines; regulated services, including pharmacies, tobacconists, lottery vendors, etc.; and provision of financial services, such as currency exchange, VAT refunds, and ATMs, as well as advisory services to international airports. Aena S.M.E., S.A. was formerly known as Aena, S.A. and changed its name to Aena S.M.E., S.A. in April 2017. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain. Aena S.M.E., S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Entidad Pública Empresarial ENAIRE.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aena SA reported revenue of €6.3B in FY2025 versus €2.4B in FY2021, a compound +26.7%/yr. Reported net income was €2.1B in FY2025.
of which total revenue +5.9 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Airports & Air Services · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD | 2.58 SGD | 1.25 SGD | −52% |
| Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC | $214.87 | $253.64 | +18% |
| GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA | ₹102.70 | ₹22.29 | −78% |
| Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 | ¥23.41 | ¥17.09 | −27% |
| Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN | CHF 208.80 | CHF 121.30 | −42% |
| Auckland International Airport Limited AIA | A$7.09 | A$2.76 | −61% |
| Fraport AG FRA | €62.40 | €49.83 | −20% |
| Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL | kr 5,440 | kr 1,821 | −67% |
| SATS Ltd S58 | 4.07 SGD | 4.03 SGD | −1% |
| Flughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft, FLU | €53.00 | €46.33 | −13% |
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